城市柴油客车改电动客车经济可行性的关键变量影响

Kristine Malnaca, I. Yatskiv
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引用次数: 5

摘要

2016年欧洲低排放交通战略指出,欧洲需要加速向低排放和零排放汽车的过渡,如插电式混合动力汽车、全电动汽车和燃料电池(即氢动力)汽车。包括拉脱维亚在内的所有欧盟国家都支持向低碳经济过渡。通过该战略,欧盟委员会正在努力通过促进可持续的城市交通和增加使用清洁和节能车辆来加强经济,并研究如何加速这一进程。城市对于实现这一战略至关重要,公共汽车的电气化是朝着减少交通部门对化石燃料的依赖以及创造更健康的城市环境迈出的一步。与此同时,电动公交车对于公共交通运营商来说仍然是一个挑战,因为购买一辆新车的成本很高,而且缺乏充电基础设施。因此,将柴油公交车转换为电动公交车是考虑的替代方案之一。当地经济的发展以及技术机遇是在城市使用电动公交车的决策中需要考虑的重要因素。将柴油城市公交车转换为电动公交车的经济可行性可以使用一个经济模型来参数化,该模型允许估计关键变量对总拥有成本的影响。本文分析了拉脱维亚某城市将柴油公交车改造为电动公交车的具体案例。在经济模型的帮助下,确定了关键变量及其转换值,使柴油机客车转换为电动汽车具有经济可行性。经济分析的结果是有利于转换的电动巴士,除了较低的运维成本提供额外的环境效益。
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Impact of Critical Variables on Economic Viability of Converted Diesel City Bus into Electric Bus
A European Strategy for low-emission mobility of 2016 states that Europe needs to accelerate the transition towards low- and zero-emission vehicles like some plug-in hybrids, full electric cars and fuel cell (i.e. hydrogen-powered) vehicles. Transition to a low-carbon economy is supported in all EU countries including Latvia. Through the Strategy, the European Commission is working to strengthen the economy by promoting sustainable urban mobility and increased use of clean and energy efficient vehicles and looking into how to accelerate this process. Cities are crucial for the delivery of this strategy, and electrification of buses is a step towards reducing the fossil fuel dependency of the transportation sector as well as creation of a healthier urban environment. At the same time electric buses are still a challenge for public transport operators due to high aquisition costs of a new vehicle and lack of charging infrastructure. Therefore conversion of diesel city bus into electric bus is one of the alternatives considered. The development of local economy along with the technological opportunities are important factors to be considered in the decision making regarding the use of electric bus in a city. Economic viability of converted diesel city bus into electric bus can be parameterized using an economic model that allows to estimate an impact of critical variables on the total cost of ownership. In this paper, a specific case of operating converted diesel bus into electric bus in a city of Latvia is analyzed. With the help of economic model critical variables are determined as well as their switching values, which make the use of converted diesel engine bus into an electric vehicle economically viable. The results of economic analysis are in favour of converted electric bus which apart from lower O&M costs provide additional benefits to the environment.
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