离网矿区混合电厂运行规划:风险约束优化方法

G.A. Castro, M. I. Murkowska, Pedro Zulaica Rey, A. Anvari‐Moghaddam
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引用次数: 0

摘要

全球采矿的困难之一是必须在没有电网连接的偏远地区进行。因此,为电气化选择最有利可图和最可靠的能源组合是很重要的。本文研究了满足西澳大利亚某矿山需求的不同技术。使用HOMER Pro,根据所考虑的资源,获得了几个可行的系统。运用层次分析法(AHP),选择最合适的案例进行进一步研究。利用蒙特卡罗模拟方法,对不确定性进行了研究,提出了一种风险约束优化算法,得到了最优调度、期望成本和条件风险值。数值结果表明,由于可再生能源的可变运行成本较低,运行成本和CVaR随风险规避因子的增加变化幅度不大。结果表明,本文提出的基于WT、pv和电池的混合电气化方案不仅可以提供可靠的发电,而且日常运行成本非常低。
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Operational Planning of a Hybrid Power Plant for Off-Grid Mining Site: A Risk-constrained Optimization Approach
One of the difficulties of mining worldwide is that it must be carried out in remote places without grid connection. Therefore it is important to choose the most profitable and reliable combination of energy sources for electrification. In this paper, different technologies to meet the demand of a mine located in Western Australia are studied. Using HOMER Pro, several viable systems, for the resources considered, are obtained. Using analytic hierarchy process (AHP), the most suitable case is selected for further study. Using Monte-Carlo simulations several scenarios are developed for the study of uncertainties, and a risk-constrained optimization algorithm is implemented to obtain the optimal scheduling, the expected cost and conditional value at risk (CVaR). Numerical results demonstrate that the variations of operation cost and CVaR with the increase in risk aversion factor are not of high magnitude, due to rather low variable operation costs of renewable energy sources. It is shown that the proposed hybrid electrification plan, based on WT, PVs and battery, could not only provide a reliable power generation, but also very low daily operating cost.
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