航空货运通过开放渠道推动经济增长:以经合组织国家为例。

IF 0.3 4区 工程技术 Q4 ECONOMICS International Journal of Transport Economics Pub Date : 2008-02-01 DOI:10.1400/91930
Y. Ying, Chun-ping Chang, M. Hsieh
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引用次数: 5

摘要

在航空货运量急剧上升、贸易政策开放程度不断扩大、国际市场一体化程度不断提高的背景下,研究人员开发了一个实证模型,用于研究贸易政策、航空货运量和人均国内生产总值开放程度之间的关系。对于OECD成员国1970-2002年的样本,采用Pedroni面板协整检验,采用完全修正的OLS技术。这些变量之间的协整关系得到实证研究结果的充分支持,航空货运冲击和积极的贸易占显着的实际人均GDP贡献。通过一个看似无关的面板回归估计,证实了航空货运确实是通过开放渠道刺激经济增长的引擎。从具体证据中可以看出样本国家对政策制定者的重要政策影响。
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Air Cargo as an Impetus for Economic Growth through the Channel of Openness : the Case of OECD Countries.
Against the backdrop of a steep rise in the volume of air cargo, an ever expanding openness in trade policy, and increased international market integration, there is development of an empirical model for relationships to be examined between trade policy, air freight volume and per capita GDP openness. For the sample consisting of OECD member countries during the 1970-2002 period, Pedroni's panel cointegration test is used and fully modified OLS techniques are employed. Cointegrated relationship among these variables are fully supported by the empirical findings, with air freight shocks and positive trade accounting for marked real per capita GDP contributions. That air cargo is indeed an economic growth stimulation engine via the channel of openness is confirmed through a panel seemingly unrelated regression estimation. Important policy implications for policymakers emerge in sample countries from concrete evidence.
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