{"title":"宏观经济学中的理性预期模型","authors":"John B. Taylor","doi":"10.3386/W1224","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This paper is a review of rational expectations models used in macroeconomic research. The purpose is to examine in some detail the differences between the models, the advantages and disadvantages of alternative models the empirical support for the models and their policy implications. The main theme is that there os a wide diversity among rational expectations models in macroeconomics, despite their common expectational assumptions and methods of analysis. Information-based and contast-based theories are reviewed as alternative models of aggregate supply. A brief review od rational expectations models of the demand side is also provided, along with a discusion of some problems with the rational expextations assumption.","PeriodicalId":11754,"journal":{"name":"ERN: Other Macroeconomics: Aggregative Models (Topic)","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"1983-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"24","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Rational Expectations Models in Macroeconomics\",\"authors\":\"John B. Taylor\",\"doi\":\"10.3386/W1224\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"This paper is a review of rational expectations models used in macroeconomic research. The purpose is to examine in some detail the differences between the models, the advantages and disadvantages of alternative models the empirical support for the models and their policy implications. The main theme is that there os a wide diversity among rational expectations models in macroeconomics, despite their common expectational assumptions and methods of analysis. Information-based and contast-based theories are reviewed as alternative models of aggregate supply. A brief review od rational expectations models of the demand side is also provided, along with a discusion of some problems with the rational expextations assumption.\",\"PeriodicalId\":11754,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"ERN: Other Macroeconomics: Aggregative Models (Topic)\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"1983-11-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"24\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"ERN: Other Macroeconomics: Aggregative Models (Topic)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.3386/W1224\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"ERN: Other Macroeconomics: Aggregative Models (Topic)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.3386/W1224","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
This paper is a review of rational expectations models used in macroeconomic research. The purpose is to examine in some detail the differences between the models, the advantages and disadvantages of alternative models the empirical support for the models and their policy implications. The main theme is that there os a wide diversity among rational expectations models in macroeconomics, despite their common expectational assumptions and methods of analysis. Information-based and contast-based theories are reviewed as alternative models of aggregate supply. A brief review od rational expectations models of the demand side is also provided, along with a discusion of some problems with the rational expextations assumption.