中国居民消费间接二氧化碳排放变化及其驱动力——基于国际比较视角

Qiuping Li, Sanmang Wu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

控制二氧化碳(CO)排放已成为减缓全球气候变化的重要措施,而家庭消费及其环境影响的研究已成为近年来可持续发展研究领域的热点。本文以2000-2014年为研究期,采用MRIO模型对中国居民消费间接CO排放进行了研究,并运用SDA分析了中国居民消费间接CO排放的驱动因素。结果表明:(1)研究期间,中国家庭消费间接CO排放量呈增加趋势,家庭消费总量增加1.9倍,人均CO排放量增加1.76倍。②2014年中国家庭消费的CO排放主要集中在商业和公共服务(CPS)、电力、燃气、蒸汽和空调供应(EGSA)和食品和烟草制造(MFT)三个行业,分别占总排放量的26.63%、17.69%和13.52%。(3)中国一直处于家庭消费间接CO排放净流出的位置。(4)人均家庭消费的增长是促进中国家庭消费间接CO排放增长的主要因素,各国碳强度的降低是抑制中国家庭消费间接CO排放的主要因素。研究表明,中国居民消费的间接CO排放量有可能上升,政府不仅要不断提高居民消费水平,还要积极调整产业结构,优化消费结构,有效缓解二氧化碳排放。
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Changes and Driving Forces of Indirect CO2 Emissions from Household Consumption in China—Based on an International Comparative Perspective
Controlling carbon dioxide (CO ) emissions has been an important measure to mitigate global climate change, and the study of household consumption and related environmental impacts has become a hot topic in the field of sustainable development research in recent years. Taking 2000–2014 as the research period, this paper studies the indirect CO emissions of household consumption in China by using the MRIO model and uses SDA to analyze the driving factors of indirect CO emissions of household consumption in China. The results show that: (1) During the study period, the indirect CO emissions caused by household consumption in China showed an increasing trend, with the total household amount increasing by 1.9 times, and the per capita CO emissions increasing by 1.76 times. (2) The CO emissions from household consumption in China are concentrated mainly in Commercial and Public Services (CPS), Electricity, Gas, Steam and Air Conditioning Supply (EGSA), and Manufacture of Food and Tobacco (MFT), which accounted for 26.63%, 17.69% and 13.52%, respectively, of the total emissions in 2014. (3) China has been in the position of net outflow of indirect CO emissions from household consumption. (4) The growth of per capita household consumption is the main factor promoting the growth of indirect CO emissions from household consumption in China, and the reduction of carbon intensity in various countries is the main factor in restraining the indirect CO emissions caused by household consumption in China. This study shows that indirect CO emissions from household consumption in China are likely to rise, and the government should not only improve the level of household consumption continuously but also actively adjust the industrial structure and optimize the consumption structure to alleviate CO2 emissions effectively.
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