一种评估市场潜力的方法,并确定具有热能储存的小型CSP工厂最有前途的商业案例

Youssef Benmakhlouf, R. Guédez, Jonas Wallmander, Björn Laumert
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本研究提出了一种量化新型分布式CSP技术与热能技术的市场潜力的方法。该系统依赖于斯特林发动机发电,该发动机由定日镜场收集的热量提供能量,并存储在集成的潜热存储单元中。对中东和北非地区选定的国家进行调查,以确定这种技术的最佳前景商业案例。在整个中东和北非地区,全球市场潜力超过40吉瓦,采矿和水泥等工业部门在市场份额方面拥有最好的前景。可实现的发电成本取决于所考虑的地点的DNI,但与传统的分布式发电(柴油发电机组或PV-BEES)相比,可实现的成本较低。然而,中东和北非地区的一些国家虽然拥有高DNI资源,但仍然向工业客户提供较低的电力公用事业价格,以使分布式CSP与并网电力采购具有竞争力。情景分析与最佳商业案例的多标准选择相结合,量化了达到竞争力所需的补贴金额。本研究提出了一种量化新型分布式CSP技术与热能技术的市场潜力的方法。该系统依赖于斯特林发动机发电,该发动机由定日镜场收集的热量提供能量,并存储在集成的潜热存储单元中。对中东和北非地区选定的国家进行调查,以确定这种技术的最佳前景商业案例。在整个中东和北非地区,全球市场潜力超过40吉瓦,采矿和水泥等工业部门在市场份额方面拥有最好的前景。可实现的发电成本取决于所考虑的地点的DNI,但与传统的分布式发电(柴油发电机组或PV-BEES)相比,可实现的成本较低。然而,中东和北非地区的一些国家虽然拥有高DNI资源,但仍然向工业客户提供较低的电力公用事业价格,以使分布式CSP与并网电力采购具有竞争力。一个场景A…
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A methodology to assess the market potential and identify most promising business cases for small scale CSP plants with thermal energy storage
This study presents a methodology to quantify the market potential for a novel distributed CSP technology with thermal energy technology. The system in question relies on the Stirling engine for power production, which is fed by heat collected from a heliostat field and stored in an integrated latent heat storage unit. Selected countries in the MENA region are investigated to identify best prospective business cases for such a technology. With a global market potential above 40 GW in the whole MENA, industrial sectors such as mining and cement hold the best prospects in terms of market share. The achievable costs of generation vary depending on the DNI of the sites considered but prove to be lower compared with conventional distributed generation (diesel gensets or PV-BEES). However, several countries in the MENA, although having high DNI resource, still offer low electricity utility prices to industrial customers for distributed CSP to become competitive with on-grid electricity procurement. A scenario analysis coupled with a multi criteria selection of the optimal business case quantifies the amount of subsidies necessary to reach competitiveness.This study presents a methodology to quantify the market potential for a novel distributed CSP technology with thermal energy technology. The system in question relies on the Stirling engine for power production, which is fed by heat collected from a heliostat field and stored in an integrated latent heat storage unit. Selected countries in the MENA region are investigated to identify best prospective business cases for such a technology. With a global market potential above 40 GW in the whole MENA, industrial sectors such as mining and cement hold the best prospects in terms of market share. The achievable costs of generation vary depending on the DNI of the sites considered but prove to be lower compared with conventional distributed generation (diesel gensets or PV-BEES). However, several countries in the MENA, although having high DNI resource, still offer low electricity utility prices to industrial customers for distributed CSP to become competitive with on-grid electricity procurement. A scenario a...
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