乘法和加性危险背景下的生存模型

S. R. Giolo, Jaqueline Aparecida Raminelli
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在生存分析中,乘法和加性风险模型为研究风险与协变量之间的关系提供了两个主要框架。当这些模型被考虑用于分析给定的生存数据集时,评估整体拟合优度以及每个模型预测随后将经历或不会经历该事件的受试者的程度就变得相关了。在本文中,这种评估是基于Cox-Snell残差的图形表示,也是基于接受者工作特征(ROC)曲线下面积的时间依赖版本,用AUC(t)表示。为了评估AUC(t)作为比较生存模型预测准确性的工具的性能,进行了模拟研究。梅奥诊所原发性胆汁性肝硬化(PBC)试验的数据集也被认为是为了说明这些工具在比较不同风险框架下制定的生存模型的有用性。
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SURVIVAL MODELS IN THE CONTEXT OF MULTIPLICATIVE AND ADDITIVE HAZARDS
In survival analysis, multiplicative and additive hazards models provide the two principal frameworks to study the association between the hazard and covariates. When these models are considered for analyzing a given survival dataset, it becomes relevant to evaluate the overall goodness-of-fit and how well each model can predict those subjects who subsequently will or will not experience the event. In this paper, this evaluation is based on a graphical representation of the Cox-Snell residuals and also on a time-dependent version of the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, denoted by AUC(t). A simulation study is carried out to evaluate the performance of the AUC(t) as a tool for comparing the predictive accuracy of survival models. A dataset from the Mayo Clinic trial in primary biliary cirrhosis  (PBC) of the liver is also considered to illustrate the usefulness of these tools to compare survival models formulated under distinct hazards frameworks.
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来源期刊
Revista Brasileira de Biometria
Revista Brasileira de Biometria Agricultural and Biological Sciences-Agricultural and Biological Sciences (all)
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