基于消费和可再生能源发电深度学习预测模型的住宅用户动态能源价格

J. Cano-Martínez, E. Peñalvo-López, V. León-Martínez, I. Valencia-Salazar
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引用次数: 0

摘要

由于能源价格上涨、人工智能发展和产消者崛起,新的需求侧管理模式应运而生。本研究的目的是使用深度学习技术来预测产消网络的能源生产和需求,以确定当地市场的动态价格。门控循环单元(GRU)和长短期记忆(LSTM)是用于预测消费者需求和风能和太阳能发电的两种方法。使用均方根误差(RMSE)、平均绝对误差(MAE)和平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)来比较各种方法。结果表明,GRU在RMSE、MAE和MAPE上分别为0.0273、0.0158和49.8,是预测能源产生和消耗的最佳方法。需求管理系统动态价格按小时计算,使用能源发电和需求预测的输入。最后,提出了一种制定能源规划的优化方法。
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Dynamic energy prices for residential users based on Deep Learning prediction models of consumption and renewable generation
New demand-side management models have emerged as a result of rising energy prices, the development of artificial intelligence, and the rise of prosumers. The purpose of this research is to use deep learning techniques to predict the energy production and demand of a prosumer network to determine dynamic prices for the local market. Gated Recurrent Units (GRU) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) were two methods that were taken into consideration for forecasting consumer demand and wind and solar energy generation. Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) were used to compare the various approaches. The results demonstrated that GRU, with 0.0273, 0.0158, and 49.8 in RMSE, MAE, and MAPE respectively, is the best method for predicting energy generation and consumption in our datasets. Demand management system dynamic prices were calculated on an hourly basis using input from energy generation and demand forecasts. Finally, an optimization method was developed for establishing the energy planning.
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来源期刊
Renewable Energy and Power Quality Journal
Renewable Energy and Power Quality Journal Energy-Energy Engineering and Power Technology
CiteScore
0.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
147
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