基于马科维茨模型的投资组合分析,考虑库存数量约束和目标收益或无目标收益

Asri Rula Hanifah, B. Subartini, S. Sukono
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引用次数: 0

摘要

股票投资活动离不开收益和风险,因此投资者需要专业知识来降低投资风险。一种方法是形成最优投资组合。本研究的目的是确定最优投资组合中的股票手数。本研究以连续20期在IDX30指数上市的股票属于大盘股(股票市值超过100亿美元)为标准,对研究期内股票的收盘价进行分析。然后利用马科维茨模型计算有库存约束和目标收益或无目标收益的库存数量。从所选股票中,使用Microsoft Excel形成最优投资组合。根据研究结果,最优投资组合与目标收益的组合为ASII: 5, BBCA: 10, BBNI: 23, bbi: 1, BMRI: 23, TLKM: 93, UNVR: 12,其中风险为000149,目标预期收益为00155。同时,无目标收益的最优投资组合为ASII: 8, BBCA: 7, BBNI: 32, bbi: 40, BMRI: 9, TLKM: 62, UNVR: 17,其中风险为000147,预期收益为000148。本研究可作为投资者决定投资组合的参考。
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Portfolio Analysis Using the Markowitz Model with Stock Lot Constraints and Target Returns or Without Target Returns
Stock investment activities are inseparable from returns and risk, so an investor needs expertise to minimize investment risk. One way is by forming an optimal portfolio. The purpose of this research is to determine the number of stock lots in the optimal portfolio. This research analyzes the closing prices of stocks during the research period with the criteria of stocks being listed on the IDX30 index consecutively for 20 periods and belonging to the large cap group (the stock market capitalization exceeds $10 billion). Then the number of stock lots is calculated using the Markowitz model with stock lot constraints and target returns or without target returns. From the selected stocks, an optimal portfolio is formed using Microsoft Excel. Based on the research results, a combination of an optimal portfolio with a target return is ASII: 5, BBCA: 10, BBNI: 23, BBRI: 1, BMRI: 23, TLKM: 93, UNVR: 12, where the risk is 0,000149 and the target expected return is 0,00155. Meanwhile, the optimal portfolio without a target return is ASII: 8, BBCA: 7, BBNI: 32, BBRI: 40, BMRI: 9, TLKM: 62, UNVR: 17, where a risk is 0,000147 and the expected return is 0,00148. This research can be used as a consideration for investors in determining investment portfolios.
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