粮食生产中的风险和不确定性及其对尼日利亚推广工作的影响

A. Donye, A. Ani
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引用次数: 4

摘要

本文探讨了尼日利亚粮食生产中的风险和不确定性及其对推广工作的影响。它还讨论了构成限制农业生产和生产力的不确定因素的一些因素。这些因素除其他外包括土地、劳动力、农具和投入、市场制度和政府政策。另一方面,天气风险、生物风险、技术风险以及经济和社会风险被视为在质量和数量方面大大降低农产品和产品价值的其他情况。被认为是减少作物损失的重要途径的一些风险缓解和应对战略包括消除感染源、在作物生产和种子繁殖中使用抗病植物、实行良好的作物轮作和植物结合、使用化学产品和混合种植作物。对推广工作所指出的一些影响要求推广工作者不应仅仅向农民提供有关粮食生产的信息和标准化的成套技术。它们还应提供咨询和指导,促进自然资源管理和市场供应链中许多不同利益攸关方之间的沟通和协调。农业推广工作者应当能够协助农民制定一系列农业生产选择。推广工作者和政府应加强现有的村级营销选择。他们应该分析销售季节,与参与营销和提供运输设施的人员进行互动,从而向农民提供相应的建议。提出的建议包括,除其他外,尼日利亚政府需要建立和维持农业发展所需的基础设施,确保研究和推广服务、投入供应和信贷安排、销售结构和价格制度以及通信和运输网络都适当到位。
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Risks and uncertainties in food production and their implications for extension work in Nigeria
This paper examines the risks and uncertainties in food production and their implications for extension work in Nigeria. It also discusses some of the factors constituting uncertainties that limit agricultural production and productivity. These factors include, inter alia, land, labour, farm implements and inputs, market systems and government policies. On the other hand, weather risks, biological risks, technical risks and economic and social risks were discussed as other circumstances which greatly reduce the values of agricultural produce and products in terms of quality and quantity. Some risk mitigation and coping strategies which were noted as important ways of reducing crop losses include wiping out the sources of infection, use of disease-resistant plants for crop production and seed propagation, practicing good crop rotation and plant association, use of chemical products and growing crops in mixture. Some of the implications noted for extension work require that extension workers should move beyond simply providing farmers with information on food production and standardized technological packages. They should also provide advice and guidance that facilitate communication and coordination among many different stakeholders in natural resource management and market supply chains. Agricultural extension workers should be able to assist farmers in developing a range of agricultural production options. Extension workers and government should strengthen the existing village-level marketing options. They should analyze the marketing seasons, interact with the people involved in marketing and the provision of transportation facilities and thus, advise farmers accordingly. The recommendations made include, among others, the need for the Government of Nigeria to create and maintain the infrastructure required for agricultural development, ensure that research and extension services, input supply and credit arrangements, marketing structures and price system as well as communication and transport networks are all properly put in place.
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