平均数可能不是你想的那样:集中趋势测量的使用和误用

Daniel Condon, Anne M. Drougas, Michael Abrokwah
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引用次数: 0

摘要

商业研究的分析通常涉及定性数据的量化,以获得有意义的见解和做出明智的决策。其中一个挑战是在经济和金融建模中不恰当地使用算术平均值。算术平均数是一种广泛使用的集中趋势的统计度量,它将一组值相加,然后除以观测值的总数。虽然算术平均值简单直观,但它在金融和经济建模中的适用性在很大程度上取决于数据的性质和所要解决的具体研究问题。这就造成了一个两难的局面。尽管商界传统上强调定量研究建模,但人工智能和大数据的发展使得定性研究更受欢迎,尤其是在ESG记分卡和金融素养调查等领域。本文讨论了量化定性数据后分析研究所面临的挑战,并提供了如何使用有序回归和其他技术分析定性变量的例子。这在本科教育中尤其适用。
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The Mean May Not Mean What You Think It Means: The Use and Misuse of Measures of Central Tendency
Analysis of business studies often involves the quantification of qualitative data to derive meaningful insights and making informed decisions. One such challenge is the inappropriate use of the arithmetic mean in economic and financial modeling. The arithmetic mean is a widely used statistical measure of central tendency that sums up a set of values and divides it by the total number of observations. While the arithmetic mean is simple and intuitive, its appropriateness in financial and economic modeling highly depends upon the nature of the data and the specific research question being addressed. This creates a dilemma. Despite the business community traditionally emphasizing quantitative research modeling, the growth of artificial intelligence and big data make qualitative research more desirable, particularly in areas such as ESG scorecards and financial literacy surveys. This paper discusses the challenges presented with analyzing studies after quantifying qualitative data and provides examples of how ordinal regression and other techniques could be used to analyze qualitative variables. This is especially applicable in undergraduate education.
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