欧洲地区航空货运需求的决定因素

Serdar Alnıpak, S. Kale
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引用次数: 0

摘要

航空货运需求评估对于航空业的每一个部门来说都是至关重要的,它可以决定政策、投资、定价、营销等。本研究利用两步广义矩量法(GMM),对欧洲地区(23个国家)未发现的航空货运需求影响因素进行分析。利用2009-2018年的数据集,研究了机场总投资、消费者价格指数、人均GDP、人口、对外贸易额、工业生产指数和汇率对航空货运需求的影响。研究发现,以往航空货运需求对现时需求有解释力,消费者物价指数变动与货运量呈负相关。此外,面板回归估计表明对外贸易与工业生产指数呈正相关。结果表明,价格稳定不仅从宏观经济角度,而且从微观经济角度都具有重要意义。
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Determinants of Air Cargo Demand in The European Region
Air cargo demand estimation is crucial for every part of the air industry for determining policies, making decisions on investments, pricing, marketing, etc. This study analyses factors affecting the air cargo demand of the European Region (23 countries) on where no studies were found by making use of the two-step generalized method of moments (GMM). The effects of Total Airport Investments, Consumer Price Index, GDP Per Capita, Population, Foreign Trade Volume, Industrial Production Index, and Exchange Rate on Air Cargo Demand were examined with the data set covering the years between 2009-2018. The findings indicated that previous air cargo demand has explanatory power on current demand, and there was an inverse relationship between the change in the consumer price index and the amount of cargo. In addition, the panel regression estimator indicates a positive relationship between Foreign Trade and Industrial Production Index. The results show that price stability is of great importance not only from a macroeconomic perspective but microeconomically also.
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