自由化市场的选择复杂性如何损害绿色电力需求

Rebekka Bärenbold, Manuel Grieder, R. Schubert
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摘要

许多国家已经或正在考虑放开其住宅电力市场。自由化为消费者提供了更多的选择自由,但也导致了更高的选择复杂性,因为消费者面临着大量不同的电力合同可供选择。我们假设,在自由化市场中,消费者对这种增加的选择复杂性的反应是采用简化的决策策略,使他们能够减少认知努力。特别是,我们预测,随着选择集规模的增大,消费者更关注简单的电力合同价格属性,而较少关注相对复杂的环境属性,从而导致绿色电力需求的下降。在瑞士的代表性样本(n=610)和学生样本(n= 1212)中进行的两项在线实验中,我们发现,当面对较大的选择集时,参与者确实更关注价格,并选择包含较少可再生能源和更多传统能源的更便宜的电力合同,而不是面对较小的选择集。此外,我们还发现有证据表明,与社会规范干预形式的行为工具相比,对传统能源征税是一种更有效的政策工具,可以将需求转向可再生能源。我们的研究结果表明,家庭电力市场的自由化必须谨慎管理,这样消费者就不会不知所措,也不会将他们的需求转向更便宜但不太环保的能源。
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How Choice Complexity in Liberalized Markets Hurts the Demand for Green Electricity
Many countries have liberalized their residential electricity markets or are considering to do so. Liberalization provides consumers with more freedom of choice but also leads to higher choice complexity as consumers face a much larger number of different electricity contracts to choose from. We hypothesize that consumers react to this increased choice complexity in liberalized markets by applying simplified decision strategies that allow them to reduce cognitive effort. In particular, we predict that with increasing size of choice sets, consumers focus more on simple price attributes of electricity contracts and less on the relatively complex environmental attributes, leading to a decrease in the demand for green electricity. In two online experiments conducted in a representative (n=610) and a student sample (n=1,212) in Switzerland, we find that indeed when faced with a larger choice set participants focus more on prices and choose cheaper electricity contracts containing less renewable and more conventional energy than when faced with a smaller choice set. In addition, we also find evidence that a tax on conventional energy is a more effective policy instrument for shifting demand towards renewables than behavioral instruments in the form of social norm interventions. Our results suggest that a liberalization of the household electricity market has to be carefully managed such that consumers are not overwhelmed and do not shift their demand to cheaper but less environmentally-friendly energy sources.
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