理性预期价格下的市场内幕交易

Fuzhou Gong, Deqing Zhou
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引用次数: 12

摘要

Kyle(1985)建立了一个具有开创性和影响力的模型,在该模型中,具有长期私有信息的内幕人在给定做市商定价规则的每个时期提交最优订单。在一定程度上,“不变定价规则”实际上假设了一个自适应的预期价格,而“市场效率”条件假设了一个合理的预期价格,这意味着定价规则会受到内部人策略的影响。通过充分考虑内幕人的定价策略对定价规则的影响,我们放宽了“不变定价规则”的假设。根据知情利润条件预期的特点,根据内部人对风险的态度,提出了三种不同的模型。与Kyle(1985)相比,模型1中的风险厌恶型内部人可以获得更大的保证利润,模型2中的风险中性内部人可以获得更大的各时期总利润的事前预期,模型3中的风险寻求型内部人可以获得更大的风险利润。此外,给出了三种模型在交易频率趋于无穷时的极限行为,表明模型1获得强形式效率,模型2获得Kyle(1985)连续均衡,模型3获得信息释放速度递增的均衡。
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Insider Trading in the Market with Rational Expected Price
Kyle (1985) builds a pioneering and influential model, in which an insider with long-lived private information submits an optimal order in each period given the market maker's pricing rule. An inconsistency exists to some extent in the sense that the ``constant pricing rule " actually assumes an adaptive expected price with pricing rule given before insider making the decision, and the ``market efficiency" condition, however, assumes a rational expected price and implies that the pricing rule can be influenced by insider's strategy. We loosen the ``constant pricing rule " assumption by taking into account sufficiently the insider's strategy has on pricing rule. According to the characteristic of the conditional expectation of the informed profits, three different models vary with insider's attitudes regarding to risk are presented. Compared to Kyle (1985), the risk-averse insider in Model 1 can obtain larger guaranteed profits, the risk-neutral insider in Model 2 can obtain a larger ex ante expectation of total profits across all periods and the risk-seeking insider in Model 3 can obtain larger risky profits. Moreover, the limit behaviors of the three models when trading frequency approaches infinity are given, showing that Model 1 acquires a strong-form efficiency, Model 2 acquires the Kyle's (1985) continuous equilibrium, and Model 3 acquires an equilibrium with information released at an increasing speed.
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