感染检测中的拥挤概率

IF 0.2 Q4 EDUCATION & EDUCATIONAL RESEARCH Mathematics and Informatics Pub Date : 2021-12-31 DOI:10.53656/math2021-6-1-kri
Margarita Lambova, V. Stoyanova
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在报告中,讨论了在解释与用以核实是否存在污染的测试的置信度/不确定性水平有关的信息时的认知和普遍错觉方面的问题。假阳性和假阴性结果概率的理论本质,以及测试结果的置信度/不确定性水平,并在此基础上对这些信息的感知和社会对其解释可能产生的误解进行假设。所作的假设是根据基于非报告性调查的信息进行检验的。所获得的结果揭示了用户在合理化和解释所提供的数据以及在检测这些信息的逻辑链接特征时遇到的困难。
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Crowded Probabilities in Tests for the Presence of Infection
In the presentation, problems have been addressed in perception and popular delusions in the interpretation of information related to the level of confidence / uncertainty of tests by which the presence or absence of contamination is verified. The theoretical essence of the probabilities of a false positive and false negative result, as well as the level of confidence / uncertainty of the test results and on this basis there are assumptions about the perception of such information and possible misconceptions in its interpretation by society. Assumptions made are checked on the information based on a non-reporting survey. The results obtained reveal user difficulties in rationalizing and interpreting the data provided as well as when detecting logical links characteristic of such information.
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Mathematics and Informatics
Mathematics and Informatics EDUCATION & EDUCATIONAL RESEARCH-
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50.00%
发文量
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