COVID-19疫苗接种:掩盖无能的希望和事实

U. Cornelli, G. Belcaro, M. Recchia
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引用次数: 1

摘要

背景:2019冠状病毒病疫苗接种规划于2020年12月在三个国家(以色列、英国和美国)启动,并于1月的前两周在另外137个国家启动。截至2021年3月30日,36个国家尚未开展疫苗接种运动。目的:本研究的目的是比较两组国家的死亡率。计算由病毒导致的死亡人数与LEEDELS数据(预期寿命、生态、人口/社会和生活方式变量)之间的相关性,以确定哪些变量与COVID-19死亡有关。方法:从WHO冠状病毒控制面板中检索死亡和疫苗接种数据。LEEDELS数据取自亚特兰大地理信息网站2020年和中情局世界Facebook 2020-2021年。采用Spilt-Plot方差分析进行统计评价。使用分析分析来评估死亡与疫苗接种之间的相关性,并使用Spearman ρ来将COVID-19死亡与LEEDELS关联起来。结果:176个国家被考虑。在没有疫苗接种规划的36个国家中,死亡率正在上升,而在其他140个接近群体免疫的国家中,死亡率似乎正在趋于平缓。然而,在140个有疫苗接种规划的国家中,有48个国家(34%)的死亡人数显著增加,尽管它们开展了疫苗接种运动。这种病毒导致的死亡与城市密度和反映繁荣程度的变量(GDP、医院床位、汽车和互联网)有关。其他变量都不相关。结论:COVID-19正在造成悲惨的死亡人数,疫苗接种只是应对该疾病所需的工具之一。如果没有适当的卫生政策方针,它可能是无效的。最贫穷的国家将是下一个受害者。
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COVID-19 Vaccination: Hopes and Facts to Cover Incompetence
Background: Vaccination programmes against COVID-19 started in December 2020 in three countries (Israel, the UK and the USA) and in the first two weeks of January in a further 137 countries. No vaccination campaigns had yet been implemented in 36 countries on 30 March 2021. Objective: The aim of this research is to compare the death rates in the two sets of countries. The correlation between number of deaths due to the virus and LEEDELS data (Life Expectancy, Ecological, Demographic/Social and Lifestyle variables) was calculated to determine which of these variables were connected with COVID-19 deaths. Methods: The death and vaccination data were retrieved from the WHO coronavirus dashboard. The LEEDELS data were taken from the Atlante Geografico Agostini 2020 and CIA World Facebook 2020-2021. The statistical evaluation was conducted using the Spilt-Plot variance analysis. The profiler analysis was used to assess the correlation between deaths and vaccinations and the Spearman's ρ were used to correlate the COVID-19 deaths to LEEDELS. Results: 176 countries were considered. Death rates in the 36 countries without a vaccination programme are increasing, while in few of the other 140 which are close to herd immunity the rate seems to be flattening. However, a significant increase in number of deaths was seen in 48 of the 140 countries (34%) with vaccination programmes despite their campaigns. Death from the virus is linked to urban density and the variables that reflect prosperity (GDP, hospital beds, cars and the internet). None of the other variables were correlated. Conclusion: COVID-19 is causing a tragic number of deaths and vaccination is only one of the tools needed to tackle the disease. It can be ineffective without an appropriate approach to health policy.The poorest countries will be the next victims.
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