Screening and model construction of the clinical diagnostic indictors for Kashin-Beck disease in adolescents

Objective To understand the relationship between clinical manifestations and Kashin-Beck disease(KBD) and their contribution to diagnosis of KBD and to construct the diagnosis model for KBD in adolescents.Methods A total of 2248 subjects under the age of 18 were collected from 6 KBD endemic and 1 non-KBD areas of the Shaanxi province in China.Analysis of 32 indicators,including gender,age,and KBD clinical indicators.Indicators of the distribution of measurement data between the two groups using t test and analysis of variance,x2 test with count data,multi-category ordered response variables Logistic regression analysis for model building.Results It showed the KBD prevalence rate in adolescent had an increasing tendency with age.Analysis of indicators between the two groups,in addition to the age factor(P ＜ 0.05),the difference of ankle pain,knee pain,wrist movement disorder and other 5 indicators(P ＜ 0.05) and the last bend,elbow movement disorder,syndactyly and other 9 indicators(P ＜ 0.01 ) were statistically significant.Sixteen clinical and radiographic features in the clinical manifestations were significantly related with the clinical severity grading with KBD(P ＜ 0.01 ).Four models on the diagnostic indictors were constructed by cumulative logit model for adolescent KBD (-21ogL,Score,Wald x2 test,P ＜ 0.01 ).Conclusions The establishment of the diagnostic model based on their contribution of the joint involvement in systemic performance-related indicators has an important role for clinical diagnosis of KBD. Key words: Kashin Beck disease;  Diagnosis;  Symptoms;  Physical signs