纳米比亚的光热发电——“鸭子曲线”的解决方案?

E. Dall, G. H. Muller, F. Bailey, R. Jagau, Arno R. Pfohl, J. Swart, Juan Manuel Saenz Caballos
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引用次数: 3

摘要

近年来,光伏发电和风力发电技术的电力成本大幅下降,预计未来仍将下降。到2020年,光伏和风力发电技术可以提供最低成本的电力。在传统电网内大规模推广光伏和风力发电厂将创造一种新的运营模式,电力公司和系统运营商将很快需要适应这种模式。对于纳米比亚来说,所谓的“鸭子曲线”最好地说明了这一范式,代表了未来需求与间歇性可再生能源技术(RETs)(特别是光伏)进入电网的预期电力供应之间的差异。通过纳米比亚的案例研究,本文研究了集中式太阳能发电(CSP)在电力供应结构中的潜在作用,考虑到电网中间歇性ret的高渗透率。这项研究表明,在所考虑的一系列假设下,光热发电在纳米比亚电力供应结构中的关键作用将是在季节性的基础上为电网提供峰值和中等价值的支持。近年来,光伏发电和风力发电技术的电力成本大幅下降,预计未来仍将下降。到2020年,光伏和风力发电技术可以提供最低成本的电力。在传统电网内大规模推广光伏和风力发电厂将创造一种新的运营模式,电力公司和系统运营商将很快需要适应这种模式。对于纳米比亚来说,所谓的“鸭子曲线”最好地说明了这一范式,代表了未来需求与间歇性可再生能源技术(RETs)(特别是光伏)进入电网的预期电力供应之间的差异。通过纳米比亚的案例研究,本文研究了集中式太阳能发电(CSP)在电力供应结构中的潜在作用,考虑到电网中间歇性ret的高渗透率。这项研究表明,光热发电在纳米比亚电力系统中的关键作用是…
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CSP in Namibia – Solution to the “duck curve”?
Electricity costs from photovoltaics (PV) and wind power generation technologies have fallen greatly in recent years and are still expected to fall into the future. By the year 2020, PV and wind power generation technologies could provide the lowest cost of electricity from any source. A large scale roll-out of PV and wind power plants within conventional electricity grids will create a new operating paradigm to which power utilities and system operators will swiftly need to adapt to. For Namibia, the so-called “duck-curve” best illustrates this paradigm, representing the difference between the future demand and the expected electricity supply from intermittent Renewable Energy Technologies (RETs) (especially PV) into the grid. Through a Namibian case study, this paper investigates the potential role of Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) within the electricity supply mix, given a high penetration of intermittent RETs within the grid. This study suggests that the key role of CSP within the Namibian electricity supply mix, under the set of assumptions considered, would be to provide peaking and mid-merit support to the grid on a seasonal basis.Electricity costs from photovoltaics (PV) and wind power generation technologies have fallen greatly in recent years and are still expected to fall into the future. By the year 2020, PV and wind power generation technologies could provide the lowest cost of electricity from any source. A large scale roll-out of PV and wind power plants within conventional electricity grids will create a new operating paradigm to which power utilities and system operators will swiftly need to adapt to. For Namibia, the so-called “duck-curve” best illustrates this paradigm, representing the difference between the future demand and the expected electricity supply from intermittent Renewable Energy Technologies (RETs) (especially PV) into the grid. Through a Namibian case study, this paper investigates the potential role of Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) within the electricity supply mix, given a high penetration of intermittent RETs within the grid. This study suggests that the key role of CSP within the Namibian electricit...
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