2010-2019年中国耕地种植强度变化特征分析

IF 1.7 4区 农林科学 Q2 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Journal of Agricultural Science Pub Date : 2023-08-15 DOI:10.5539/jas.v15n9p10
Yuanhong You, Yuhao Zhang, Haiyan Hou, Zhiguang Tang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

耕地复种指数的持续稳定对国家粮食安全战略至关重要。探讨耕地复种指数的时空变化规律,对农业发展和粮食安全评价具有重要意义。利用MODIS NDVI影像数据,采用S-G滤波和二次微分方法,对2010 - 2019年中国耕地再植指数进行了研究。结果表明:中国耕地复种指数存在显著的空间差异,黄淮海地区以复种作物为主,东北平原和黄土高原以单作作物为主,长江以南地区以复作作物为主。总体而言,中国的粮食生产主要以单季作物为主。从北向南逐渐向双季作物转移,西北重播指数较低,东部省份指数较高。南方的指数明显高于北方。研究期内,耕地再植指数总体呈上升趋势。东北、黄土高原和黄淮海北部地区的再植指数显著增加。黄淮海南部地区和长江中下游地区呈下降趋势。在保持黄土高原耕地有效种植面积和黄淮海地区耕地双季种植面积的同时,解决长江中下游耕地复种指数下降的趋势,以稳定指数保障粮食安全至关重要。
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Analyzing the Characteristics of Cropping Intensity’s Change of Cultivated Land in China During 2010-2019
The sustained stability of the arable land replanting index is crucial to the national food security strategy. The exploration of the temporal and spatial changes in the arable land replanting index is of great significance for agricultural development and food security evaluation. This study investigates China’s arable land replanting index from 2010 to 2019 using MODIS NDVI image data, S-G filtering, and quadratic differentiation methods. The results show that there are significant spatial differences in China’s arable land replanting index, with the Huang-Huai-Hai region mainly producing double-cropping crops, the Northeast Plain and Loess Plateau mainly producing single-cropping crops, and the area south of the Yangtze River mainly producing multiple-cropping crops. Overall, China’s food production is mainly based on single-season crops. There is a gradual shift towards double-season crops from north to south, with lower replanting indices in the northwest and higher indices in the eastern provinces. The south has significantly higher indices than the north. During the study period, the arable land replanting index showed an overall upward trend. There were significant increases in the replanting index in the northeast, the Loess Plateau, and the northern Huang-Huai-Hai region. However, there was a downward trend in the southern Huang-Huai-Hai region and the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River. It is crucial to maintain the effective planting area of arable land in the Loess Plateau and the double-season planting area of arable land in the Huang-Huai-Hai region while also addressing the downward trend of the arable land replanting index in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River to ensure food security by stabilizing the index.
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来源期刊
Journal of Agricultural Science
Journal of Agricultural Science 农林科学-农业综合
CiteScore
2.80
自引率
5.00%
发文量
68
审稿时长
1.4 months
期刊介绍: The Journal of Agricultural Science publishes papers concerned with the advance of agriculture and the use of land resources throughout the world. It publishes original scientific work related to strategic and applied studies in all aspects of agricultural science and exploited species, as well as reviews of scientific topics of current agricultural relevance. Specific topics of interest include (but are not confined to): all aspects of crop and animal physiology, modelling of crop and animal systems, the scientific underpinning of agronomy and husbandry, animal welfare and behaviour, soil science, plant and animal product quality, plant and animal nutrition, engineering solutions, decision support systems, land use, environmental impacts of agriculture and forestry, impacts of climate change, rural biodiversity, experimental design and statistical analysis, and the application of new analytical and study methods (including genetic diversity and molecular biology approaches). The journal also publishes book reviews and letters. Occasional themed issues are published which have recently included centenary reviews, wheat papers and modelling animal systems.
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