中俄竞争合作争夺中亚势力范围

IF 0.5 4区 社会学 0 HUMANITIES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Trames-Journal of the Humanities and Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI:10.3176/tr.2021.4.04
Muhammad Nadeem Mirza, Shaukat Ayub
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引用次数: 3

摘要

. 随着在石油、天然气、货币和其他双边和多边安排方面签署了几项利润丰厚的协议,中俄关系在过去三十年中达到了前所未有的水平。然而,随着中国开始将其在中亚的经济影响力转化为政治影响力,俄罗斯开始对失去其在“近邻”的传统势力范围感到不安。在2013年提出“一带一路”倡议后,普京总统在一年后宣布建立“欧亚经济联盟”。这是俄罗斯经过深思熟虑的地缘政治决定,目的是拯救中亚,使其免于完全落入中国的势力范围。在这种背景下,地区秩序引发了一种深深的不信任感,因为两国都不清楚自己的界限在哪里,对方的界限在哪里。鉴于这些发展,本研究试图解决的问题是,为什么俄罗斯允许中国扩大其在中亚的影响力,尽管他们之间的经济不对称日益加剧,他们之间的趋同和分歧的领域是什么?该研究假设中国和俄罗斯在中亚采取了竞争性合作的政策,即在存在趋同时进行合作,在利益分歧时进行竞争。
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SINO-RUSSIAN COMPETITIVE COLLABORATION FOR THE CENTRAL ASIAN SPHERE OF INFLUENCE
. With the signing of several lucrative deals on oil, gas, currency, and other bilateral and multilateral arrangements, Sino-Russian relations over the last three decades have reached unprecedented levels. However, as China begins to translate its economic influence in Central Asia into political one, Russia started feeling uneasy about losing its traditional sphere of influence in its ‘Near-Abroad.’ After the unveiling of ‘One Belt One Road’ (OBOR) initiative in 2013, President Putin, a year later, announced the ‘Eurasian Economic Union’ (EAEU). This was a calculated geopolitical decision on the part of Russia to rescue Central Asia from falling entirely in the Chinese sphere of influence. Against this backdrop, the regional order invites a deep sense of mistrust because there is a lack of realization on the part of both states as to where one’s limits end and the other’s begin. In the light of these developments, this study endeavors to address the question that why is Russia allowing China to expand its influence in Central Asia despite the growing economic asymmetry between them and what are the areas of convergence and divergence between them? The study hypothesizes that China and Russia have adopted the policy of competitive collaboration – cooperation where there exists convergence and competition when it comes to divergence of interests – in Central Asia.
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CiteScore
0.80
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发文量
18
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