固定目标与不确定目标诱导效用函数的实验评估

IF 2.5 4区 管理学 Q3 MANAGEMENT Decision Analysis Pub Date : 2023-03-13 DOI:10.1287/deca.2023.0470
M. Zellner, A. Abbas
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文介绍了四个彩票型实验的结果,研究了不确定性下激励结构对决策的影响。我们比较了在有激励和没有激励的情况下做出的选择,有固定目标的选择,有二元目标的选择,有从逻辑分布离散化的四结果目标的选择。行为实验的结果(1)验证了固定目标和不确定目标诱导的效用函数的理论发现。此外,行为结果表明:(ii)个体的选择确实受到激励结构的影响,我们通过几个偏差度量来量化激励结构。(iii)定义的一致性度量表明,不确定目标下的选择随着不确定目标结果数量的增加而变得不那么一致。这些实验的结果为建立激励结构对决策行为的影响提供了见解。
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Experimental Assessment of Utility Functions Induced by Fixed and Uncertain Targets
This paper presents the results of four lottery-type experiments that investigate the effects of incentive structures on decision-making under uncertainty. We compare choices made with and without incentives, with fixed targets, with binary targets, and with four-outcome targets that are discretized from a logistic distribution. The results of the behavioral experiments (i) validate theoretical findings of utility functions induced by fixed and uncertain targets. Further, the behavioral results show that (ii) individuals’ choices are indeed affected by incentive structures, which we quantify by several deviation measures. (iii) Defined consistency measures show that choices under uncertain targets become less consistent as the number of uncertain target outcomes increases. The results of these experiments provide insights into the effects of setting incentive structures on decision-making behavior.
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来源期刊
Decision Analysis
Decision Analysis MANAGEMENT-
CiteScore
3.10
自引率
21.10%
发文量
19
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