摩尔多瓦独立后预期寿命的区域变化和死亡原因

Olga Penina
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摘要

在经历了与1990年代社会经济危机有关的波动期后,摩尔多瓦女性的出生时预期寿命在2005年和2010年之前基本停滞不前。最近的趋势显示,在COVID-19大流行之前,情况略有改善。数据和方法:对1993年、2004年和2014年前后三个五年期间按原因分列的区域死亡率数据进行了分析。按年龄和原因对领先地区和落后地区出生时预期寿命的差异进行了分解。结果:预期寿命在北部各区和基希讷乌市之间呈现梯度,基希讷乌市的死亡率较低,而各区带主要位于中部,死亡率较高。男女的心血管和消化系统疾病以及男性死亡的外部原因造成了区域间死亡率的差异。在最近预期寿命增长的同时,老年人因心血管疾病死亡和中年人因外部原因死亡的区域间差距也越来越大。基希讷乌市取得了最重大的进展,而在该国其他地区,这主要反映了从1990年代严重的社会经济危机中恢复过来。结论:处于高死亡率红色地带的各区自独立以来在人口健康方面没有取得任何进展。在这一地理区域,需要采取预防措施,减少与心血管疾病、肝硬化和外部死亡原因有关的危险因素。
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REGIONAL CHANGES IN LIFE EXPECTANCY AND CAUSES OF DEATH IN MOLDOVA AFTER INDEPENDENCE
After the period of fluctuations related to the socio-economic crisis of the 1990s, life expectancy at birth in Moldova mainly stagnated until 2005 in females and 2010 in males. Recent trends show moderate improvements until the COVID-19 pandemic. Data and methods: regional data on mortality by cause were analysed for three five-year periods around 1993, 2004 and 2014. Differences in life expectancy at birth between the leading districts and the lagging districts were decomposed by age and cause. Results: A gradient in life expectancy was revealed between the northern districts and the municipality of Chisinau, where mortality is low, and the belt of the districts located mainly in the centre, where mortality is high. Cardiovascular and digestive diseases in both sexes, as well as external causes of death in males were responsible for the interregional mortality disparity. The recent growth in life expectancy was accompanied by an increasing interregional disparity of mortality from cardiovascular diseases among the elderly and external causes of death among the middle-aged. The most significant progress was in the municipality of Chisinau, while in the rest of the country, it mainly reflected the recovery from the severe socio-economic crisis of the 1990s. Conclusions: The districts falling within the red belt of high mortality have made no progress in terms of population health since independence. In this geographic area, preventive measures aimed at reducing the risk factors associated with cardiovascular disease, liver cirrhosis and external causes of death are needed.
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