农业部门在约旦粮食安全中的作用演变:建立一个世纪后的SWOT分析

Amer S. Jabarin
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摘要

1921年,外约旦酋长国的人口只有23万人。这个新生的国家几乎没有自然资源和人口中心,它唯一的真正收入是英国政府的援助。最新统计数据显示,约旦人口在2020年8月达到1096万,这意味着在过去的100年里,人口增长了46倍以上。沙特王国人口的大量增加给农业部门有限的可用资源带来了巨大压力,从而危及粮食安全局势,特别是在过去几十年。约旦的粮食安全是一个复杂的问题,在最近的2019冠状病毒病疫情期间,这一问题加剧了,而这一疫情恰逢当前的难民危机。本文的主要目的是探讨农业部门在下个世纪的预期作用及其对约旦粮食安全形势的影响的主要方向。研究者使用了一种描述性的分析工具,利用优势(S),劣势(W),机会(O)和威胁(T) (SWOT)的点来实现这项研究的目标。本文通过SWOT分析得出的主要结论如下:1)气候变化和下降非常稀缺的水资源是目前面临的主要挑战,并将继续面临农业部门将危及粮食安全系统在约旦,2)另一个重大挑战是高人口增长率和大量的难民,3)缺乏明确的和健壮的粮食安全政策,和4)食物浪费和收获后损失的另一个主要威胁粮食安全在约旦。为了尽量减少这些挑战,研究人员建议如下:1)通过采用新的灌溉技术,如改进的滴灌系统,提高现有农业生产系统的用水效率;2)扩大水培生产系统,节省大量的灌溉用水,也可以在城市中心附近生产,以节省最终产品的运输成本;3)引进抗旱的大田作物、饲料作物和树木品种;4)改善易腐农产品的收获后处理系统,以减少价值链不同阶段的损失,如扩大冷库设施、冷藏车、预冷和适当的包装和包装;5)通过建立满足当前和未来食品市场需求的新课程来改进农业教育课程;6)支持和鼓励年轻的研究人员,孵化和加速他们的新想法,为约旦目前的农业和粮食安全体系增加巨大价值。
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Evolution of the Role of the Agricultural Sector in the Food Security of Jordan: - A SWOT Analysis after a Century of Establishment
In 1921, the population of the Emirate of Transjordan was only 230 thousand people. The newly born country had few natural resources and few population centers, and its only real revenue was British government aid. The latest statistics show that Jordan’s population amounted to 10.96 million in August 2020, which means that the population has increased by more than 46 folds over the last 100 years. The huge increase in the kingdom’s population has put huge pressures on the limited resources available to the agricultural sector and consequently jeopardize the food security situation, especially in the last few decades. Food security in Jordan is a complex issue which exacerbated during the latest Covid-19 epidemic which coincided with the ongoing refugee crises. The main objective of this paper is to explore the main directions of the expected role of the agricultural sector and its impact on the food security situation in Jordan in the next century. The researcher used a descriptive analysis tool that uses the points of strengths (S), weakness (W), opportunities (O), and threats (T) (SWOT) to achieve the objective of this research. The main conclusions drawn from the SWOT analysis conducted in this paper are as follows: 1)climate change and the decline in the very scarce water resource is the major challenge that is currently facing and will continue to face the agricultural sector which will jeopardize the food security system in Jordan, 2) another major challenge is the high population growth rates and a large number of refugees in the country, 3) The absence of clear and robust food security policy, and 4) Food waste and post-harvest losses are another major threat of the food security in Jordan. To minimize these challenges, the researcher recommends the following that: 1) Increase the water use efficiency of the current agricultural production systems through adopting new irrigation techniques such as improved drip irrigation systems, 2) expand in the hydroponic production systems that save huge amounts of irrigation water which could also be produced near urban centers to save transportation costs of final production, 3) introduce drought-resistant varieties of field crops, forage crops and trees, 4) improve the post-harvest handling systems of perishable agricultural products to reduce losses across the different stages of the value chain such expanding with cold storage facilities, cold trucks, pre-cooling, and proper packing and packaging, 5) improve the agricultural education curricula through establishing new programs that meet the current and future food market demand, and 6) support and encourage young researchers through incubating and accelerating their new ideas which could add great values to the current agricultural and food security system in Jordan.
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