尼日利亚吉加瓦州人口特征对冲突管理的影响

A. M. Chamo, A. Abdullahi, I. Tafida, A. Karaye, B. Mamman, M. M. Kundiri, U. Sani, D. Damisa, M. Galadima, U. Jaafar
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引用次数: 1

摘要

这项研究分析了人口特征对吉加瓦州冲突管理的影响。采用有目的抽样、雪球抽样、整群抽样和随机抽样的多阶段抽样方法,选取75名种植户、75名定居牧民和79名迁徙牧民,采用结构化问卷进行访谈。使用的分析工具包括描述性统计、logistic回归。研究发现,农民认为法院判决(53.3%)和低执法人员的干预(40.0%)是解决冲突的策略。定居牧民普遍认为传统领袖干预(52.0%)和当地社区种植户/牧民干预(42.7%)是冲突的解决策略,迁移牧民普遍认为传统领袖干预(50.6%)和赔偿受害者(49.4%)是冲突的解决策略。结果进一步表明,57.3%的农民、65.3%的定居牧民和50.6%的迁徙牧民认为推广代理人在冲突预防和管理中发挥着重要作用。农户的婚姻状况(0.007)、家庭规模(0.100)和农场性质(0.010)具有统计学意义,定居牧民的年龄(0.010)、牧群规模(0.093)和对放牧保护区的认识(0.097)具有统计学意义,迁移牧民的牧群规模(0.074)、放牧经验(0.063)和协会成员(0.100)具有统计学意义。但是,与冲突有关的人口特征应由参与解决冲突的适当机构加以适当管理,同样,政府应训练和授权推广人员履行其职责,这将有助于有效预防和管理冲突。关键词:冲突,人口特征,农民,定居和迁移的牧民
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Effect of Demographic Characteristics on Conflicts Management in Jigawa State, Nigeria
The study analysed the effect of demographic characteristics on conflict management in Jigawa State. Multi-stage sampling procedure consisting of purposive, snow ball sampling method, cluster sampling and random sampling were used in selecting 75 crop farmers, 75 sedentary pastoralists and 79 migratory pastoralists who were interviewed using Structured Questionnaire. The analytical tools used include descriptive statistics, logistics regression. The study revealed that farmers believed court verdict (53.3%) and intervention by low enforcement agents (40.0%) were the strategies of conflict resolution. The sedentary pastoralists generally believed that  intervention by traditional leaders (52.0%) and local community crop farmers/herders intervention (42.7%) were the strategies of conflict resolution, while the migratory pastoralists opined that intervention by traditional leaders (50.6%) and payment of  compensation to victims (49.4%) are the strategies of conflict resolution. The result further revealed that 57.3% of farmers, 65.3% of the sedentary pastoralists and 50.6% of the migratory pastoralists agreed that extension agents play vital roles in conflicts prevention and management. Results of logistic regression for the farmers showed that marital status (0.007), household size (0.100) and nature of the farms (0.010) were statistically significant, while for the sedentary pastoralists’ age (0.010), herd size (0.093) and awareness about grazing reserves (0.097) were significant, and for the migratory pastoralists herd size (0.074), herding experience (0.063) and membership of association (0.100) were statistically significant. However, the demographic characteristics associated with conflict should be properly managed by the appropriate institutions involving in conflict resolutions, similarly  government should train and empowers extension agents in discharging their duties, and this will help in effective conflict prevention and management. Keywords: Conflict, demographic characteristics, farmers, sedentary and migratory pastoralists
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