国家参与ICT服务市场对经济增长、CPI和汇率的影响

IF 1.5 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Economics & Politics Pub Date : 2023-05-17 DOI:10.2478/eoik-2023-0009
A. Oliinyk
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在新冠肺炎大流行、俄罗斯入侵乌克兰以及可能出现的全球衰退等危机时期,寻找实现经济增长的途径,加剧了实施进入或加强参与前景市场的管理解决方案的必要性。在过去十年中,信息通信技术产业一直是各参与经济体经济发展的火车头。本文的基本思想是基于分析各国参与ICT服务市场对其经济增长、消费者价格指数(CPI)和汇率的影响的需要。通过对世界信息通信技术服务市场主要指标的状态和动态进行分析,实现了这一目的。结果表明,信息通信技术服务的进出口量都在增长。此外,我们旨在为ICT服务市场对各国经济参数的影响提供经验证据。我们基于占全球ICT市场90%以上的30个最大市场的GDP值、CPI和汇率数据,提出了Pearson’s r回归的统计模型。核心结果表明,对于人均GDP较低的经济体,ICT服务进出口与GDP的相关性更强。该模型显示出依赖于变量的高成功率。根据建模期间获得的结果,对不同社会经济发展水平的国家提出了命题和建议。
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The Impact of Countries’ Participation in the ICT Services Market on Economic Growth, CPI, and Exchange Rates
Abstract Finding a way of achieving economic growth in the crisis period due to the COVID-19 pandemic, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and probable global regression aggravates the need for the implementation of managerial solutions of entering or intensifying participation in the perspective markets. The ICT industry has been a locomotive of economic development for the last decade for participating economies. The basic idea of the paper is based on the need to analyze the impact of countries’ participation in the ICT services market on their economic growth, consumer price indices (CPI), and exchange rates. The purpose was achieved by performing an analysis of the state and dynamics of the main indicators of the world ICT services market. The results show that the volume of ICT services exported and imported is growing. Moreover, we aimed to provide empirical evidence on the ICT services market’s impact on the economic parameters of the countries. We proposed a statistical model of Pearson’s r regression, based on the data of GDP values, CPI, and exchange rates of the 30 largest markets accounting for more than 90% of the ICT world market. The core results demonstrate stronger ICT services export and import correlation with GDP for economies with lower GDP per capita. The model shows a high success rate depending on variables. Based on the results obtained during modelling, propositions, and recommendations for countries with different socio-economic development levels were given.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.40
自引率
10.00%
发文量
32
期刊介绍: Economics & Politics focuses on analytical political economy, broadly defined as the study of economic and political phenomena and policy in models that include political processes, institutions and markets. The journal is the source for innovative theoretical and empirical work on the intersection of politics and economics, at both domestic and international levels, and aims to promote new approaches on how these forces interact to affect political outcomes and policy choices, economic performance and societal welfare. Economics & Politics is a vital source of information for economists, academics and students, providing: - Analytical political economics - International scholarship - Accessible & thought-provoking articles - Creative inter-disciplinary analysis
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