通过管理挑战和保守性来避免重大成本?天然气管道侧向屈曲设计

K. A. Karim, Md Anuar Desa, Mohd Hailmi Othman, Hayati Hussien
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引用次数: 0

摘要

为PETRONAS项目提出了一种侧向屈曲缓解设计解决方案,以控制拟议的28英寸天然气管道沿线的管道膨胀。不幸的是,该设计考虑了典型的保守方法,导致额外成本超出了最终投资决策(FID)和项目批准的预期金额。此外,提出的缓解方案没有充分研究各种管道设计参数的替代方案,包括设计压力和温度剖面、管道WT、CWC厚度、土壤数据,这些可能涉及影响其他学科。拟议的解决方案还需要额外的海上施工成本。本文提供了评估和设计方法的见解,以优化28”海上天然气出口管道的侧向屈曲解决方案。由于该问题是在碳钢管线招标过程即将完成时出现的,管道项目组可用的壁厚有限。考虑到这一点,PETRONAS的管道内部工程团队进行了概率评估,以确定管道沿线的特征VAS。采用这种方法是为了减少以往的保守假设,即只引入了单一的隔离屈曲情况。为了降低管道温度分布,研究了热端弯曲壁厚采用母管而不涂覆混凝土的方案。该研究的目的是获得具有或不具有混凝土重量涂层的壁厚组合,使其能够在安全限度内不受控制地发生屈曲,从而消除额外的海上施工工作。所有评估均按照DNV-RP-F110和DNV-OS-F101极限状态要求进行。由概率评估确定的特征VAS比孤立单扣地层的保守假设要短得多。为了解决管道的膨胀问题,我们在管道的前10公里处拆除了混凝土重量涂层段,该部分具有较高的壁厚,以平衡稳定性问题,并提供更高的抗局部屈曲、断裂和疲劳的能力。在10km ~ 20km的管道段,在有效力较低的情况下,选择较薄的壁厚,并采用混凝土重涂(CWC)。为了使设计具有成本效益,需要根据设计压力和温度剖面、管道WT、CWC厚度、土壤数据和海上施工等各种参数对缓解方案进行合理化。从最近的多个项目中吸取的经验教训清楚地表明,在管线管道采购开始之前,甚至在FID之前,需要对管道的整体屈曲进行调查、确认和优化,特别是对于长距离管道。为了避免不必要的额外成本影响,在设计中消除不确定性、巨大的设计公差和保守的假设是很重要的,因为它可能导致复杂的系统安排。
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Significant Cost Avoidance by Managing Challenges and Conservatism of 28? Gas Pipeline Lateral Buckling Design
A lateral buckling mitigation design solution had been proposed for PETRONAS project to control pipeline expansion along a proposed 28" gas pipeline. Unfortunately, the design which considers typical conservative approaches, had lead to excessive addition cost beyond the expected amount of Final Investment Decision (FID) and project sanction. Moreover, the mitigation scheme had been proposed without adequate study of alternative options by rationalization of various pipeline design parameters including design pressure and temperature profile, pipe WT, CWC thickness, soil data which may involve influencing other disciplines. The proposed solution also requires additional cost to offshore construction work. This paper provides insights on the assessment and design approaches carried out to optimize lateral buckling solution for the 28" offshore gas export pipeline. As the issue had come about when the carbon steel linepipe bidding process was almost completed, the pipeline project team had limited wall thickness available. With that in mind, PETRONAS’s pipeline in-house engineering team had performed probability assessment to identify the characteristic VAS along the pipeline. This approach was taken to reduce the previous conservative assumption whereby only single isolation buckling case has been introduced. For the purpose of lowering the pipeline temperature profile, an option of utilizing mother pipe for bend wall thickness at the hot end area without concrete coating was investigated. The study aimed to get a combination of wall thicknesses, with and without concrete weight coating that allow uncontrolled buckling formation within the safety limit so that additional offshore construction work can be eliminated. All the assessment was according to DNV-RP-F110 and DNV-OS-F101 limit state requirement. The characteristic VAS determined from probability assessment is much shorter compare to conservative assumption of isolated single buckle formation. The expansion issue along the proposed pipeline was achieved by removing concrete weight coating section along the first 10km of the pipeline with higher wall thickness to counterbalance the stability issue as well as providing higher resistance against local buckling, fracture and fatigue. Thinner wall thickness provided with concrete weight coating (CWC) was selected for the pipeline section between 10km to 20km when the effective force is lower. For cost effective design, the mitigation scheme needs to be rationalized with various parameters from design pressure and temperature profile, pipe WT, CWC thickness, soil data and offshore construction. Lesson learnt from multiple recent projects shows clear indication that global buckling of a pipeline needs to be investigated, confirmed and optimized prior to initiation of line pipe procurement or even prior to FID especially for a long distance pipeline. In order to avoid unnecessary additional cost impact, it is important to eliminate uncertainty, huge design tolerance and conservative assumption in the design as it could lead to a complex system arrangement.
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