俄罗斯各地区商业生态系统与经济发展水平的关系评价

A. Ovchinnikova, S. Zimin
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引用次数: 4

摘要

经济环境的变化与向新技术秩序的过渡有关。新生的生产模式是建立在经济实体之间经济合作的根本新方案的基础上的。此外,冠状病毒大流行加剧了当前的结构性工业危机,导致商业活动普遍下降,区域经济增长下降。区域创业生态系统是组织和支持区域创业的一种形式,它可以保证经济主体在从一般竞争到一般合作的过程中相互作用的协调。本研究的目的是确定一个地区的创业生态系统的发展水平与其经济发展的总体水平之间是否存在联系。研究假设为:H1—区域创业生态系统发展水平越高,区域经济整体发展水平和活力越高;H2——创业生态系统更发达的主体“引诱”邻近生态系统的资源和参与者。研究对象是2005-2019年俄罗斯联邦79个地区的区域经济。为了验证第一个假设,本文对研究对象进行了聚类分析,根据创业生态系统发展的概念将研究对象划分为四个聚类组。为了证实第二个假设,我们计算了各地区组织生育率偏差与官方清算率之间的成对相关系数和协方差系数。研究发现,创业生态系统成熟的地区经济发展指标较高,创业生态系统发展质量的其他关键指标也较高。在统计上无法证实提出的第二项论点。所研究对象的生育率和组织的正式解散主要朝着同一个方向变化,即受到相同因素的影响。这一思想通过对相关系数的计算得到了证实。尽管缺乏统计上的可能性来证实研究的第二个假设,但已经建立了区域创业生态系统发展水平与区域经济发展总体水平之间的关系。所得结果可用于区域经济发展的规划和预测。
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Assessment of Relations of Business Ecosystems with the Level of Economic Development of Regions of Russia
Shifts in the economic environment are associated with the transition to a new technological order. The nascent production model is based on the creation of fundamentally new schemes of economic cooperation between economic entities. In addition, the current structural industrial crisis, exacerbated by the coronavirus pandemic, leads to a general decline in business activity, and a decrease in the growth of regional economies. One of the forms of organizing and supporting regional entrepreneurship, which can ensure the coordination of the process of interaction of economic entities on the way from general competition to general cooperation, is the regional entrepreneurial ecosystem. The aim of the study is to determine the presence of a connection between the level of development of a region's entrepreneurial ecosystem and the general level of its economic development. The research hypotheses are as follows: H1 - the higher the level of development of the regional entrepreneurial ecosystem, the higher the level and dynamics of development of the regional economy as a whole; H2 - a subject with a more developed entrepreneurial ecosystem "lures" resources and participants of neighboring ecosystems. The objects of the research are the regional economies of 79 regions of the Russian Federation in 2005-2019. To confirm the first hypothesis, a cluster analysis of the studied subjects was carried out, dividing them into four cluster groups according to the concept of the development of entrepreneurial ecosystems. To confirm the second hypothesis, we calculated the paired correlation and covariance coefficients between the deviations of the fertility rates of organizations and the rates of official liquidation by region. It has been established that regions with mature entrepreneurial ecosystems have higher indicators of economic development, as well as other key indicators of the quality of development of the region's entrepreneurial ecosystem. It was not possible to statistically confirm the second of the theses put forward. Fertility rates and the official liquidation of organizations for the subjects under study changed mainly in the same direction, that is, under the influence of the same factors. This idea is confirmed by the calculation of the pair correlation coefficients. Despite the absence of a statistical possibility of substantiating the second hypothesis of the study, the relationship between the level of development of the region's entrepreneurial ecosystem and the general level of regional economic development has been established. The results obtained can be applied in planning and forecasting the economic development of regional economies.
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