电力负荷预测:方法概述

Medhat A. Rostum, Amr Zamel, H.M.M. Moustafa, I. Ziedan
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引用次数: 2

摘要

电力负荷预测过程通过对以往数据的理解,在预测未来电力负荷需求和峰值负荷方面发挥着广泛的作用。有研究证明,负荷预测误差的存在会导致运行成本的增加。因此,准确的负荷预测是电力系统安全可靠运行的必要条件。它还能提高能源效率、电力公司的收入和电力系统的可靠运行。最近,预报技术的应用有了显著的增加。这一调查有助于读者总结和比较电力负荷预测的最新主导研究。此外,本文还介绍了近十年来有关负荷预测的最新研究成果,并讨论了用于负荷预测的不同方法以及该领域的未来发展方向。
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Electrical Load Forecasting: A methodological overview
Electric load forecasting process plays an extensive role in forecasting future electric load demand and peak load by understanding the previous data. Several researchers proved that, the presence of load forecasting error leads to an increase in operating costs. Thus Accurate electric load forecast is needed for power system security and reliability. It also improves energy efficiency, revenues for the electrical companies and reliable operation of a power system. In recent times, there are significant proliferations in the implementation of forecasting techniques. This survey aids readers to summarize and compare the latest predominant researches on electric load forecasting. Besides, it presents the most relevant studies on load forecasting over the last decade and discusses the different methods that are used in load prediction as well as the future directions in this field.
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