一致性和标准化在估算美国南部森林工业经济贡献中的重要性

Christa D. Court, João-Pedro Ferreira, Caleb Stair, A. Hodges
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摘要

森林工业是美国许多地方和州经济的重要贡献者。在州和国家层面制定明智的公共政策,要求决策者掌握有关这些经济贡献的价值和结构的准确和站得住的信息。然而,不同的方法和建模假设以及不同的行业部门被不同的分析师纳入,使跨地区和时间的有意义的比较复杂化。这项工作提出了评估森林工业经济贡献的标准化方法。美国南部林区是这种方法的一个例子,在比较不同地区和时间的人均经济贡献、每英亩林地和每单位木材采伐量时,得到了标准化的结果。在其他发现中,结果表明,木材和纸制品制造业发达的州比木材采伐集中的州有更大的经济贡献。研究意义:学术机构、私人组织和政府机构经常对森林工业进行经济贡献评估,通常采用不同的假设和部门差异,因此难以跨区域和/或时间比较结果。本文建议用15个有限的部门来代表森林工业,并建议将森林工业的经济贡献标准化,以便进行适当的比较。对美国南部森林地区各州森林工业的比较显示出结构性差异,一些州专门从事森林资源的开采,而另一些州则专注于制造初级和次级木材和纸制品。
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Importance of Consistency and Standardization in Estimating Economic Contributions of the Forest Industry in the Southern United States
The forest industry is a significant contributor to many local and state economies in the United States (US). Informed public policy at state and national levels requires that decision makers have accurate and defensible information on the value and structure of these economic contributions. However, different methods and modeling assumptions used and different industry sectors included by various analysts complicate meaningful comparisons across regions and time. This work presents a standardized approach to economic contribution assessments of the forest industry. The US Southern Forest region serves as an example of this approach with standardized results for economic contributions per capita, per acre of timberland, and per unit volume of timber harvested when comparing across regions and time. Among other findings, the results suggest that states with developed wood and paper product manufacturing industries have significantly greater economic contributions than states that are concentrated on timber harvesting. Study Implications: Academic institutions, private organizations, and government agencies routinely conduct economic contribution assessments of the forest industry, often with different assumptions and differences in sectors included, making it difficult to compare results across regions and/or time. This article suggests a limited set of 15 sectors to represent the forest industry and recommends standardizing the economic contributions of the forest industry for appropriate comparisons. A comparison of the forest industry across states in the US Southern Forest region shows structural differences, with some states specializing in the extraction of forest resources while others are focused on manufacturing primary and secondary wood and paper products.
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