沙特阿拉伯第一个公用事业规模风电场的可行性(400兆瓦Dumat Al-Jandal项目)

Kamel Almutairi, R. Alahmadi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

沙特阿拉伯有一个雄心勃勃的计划,使其发电资源多样化。该计划的一部分包括启动萨勒曼国王可再生能源倡议(KSREI)。这项工作的目标是研究沙特阿拉伯第一个公用事业规模的风电场的可行性,被称为400兆瓦的Dumat Al-Jandal项目,并使用系统顾问模型(SAM)软件进行。由于风力机的轮毂高度通常与风速测量的高度不同,因此采用不同的方法外推风速到不同的高度。这些方法是使用两个不同剪切系数的幂律和对数律。为了更好地理解这些因素对风电场性能的影响,我们对113台不同尺寸和功率曲线的商用风力涡轮机进行了模拟。技术分析表明,在140 m、110 m和80 m高度,最有效风力机类型的容量因子分别为35.5% ~ 26.8%、32.9% ~ 25.5%和29.7% ~ 23.7%。从经济角度来看,在140 m、110 m和80 m高度,最高效的风力机类型的平准化能源成本(LCOE)分别为3.23 ~ 4.57分/kWh、3.55 ~ 4.84分/kWh和4.02 ~ 5.82分/kWh。根据这一分析,最低的LCOE(3.23美分/千瓦时)与项目中标人提交的LCOE在同一范围内。最后,净现值(NPV)表明该项目在经济上是可行的。
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The Feasibility of the First Utility-Scale Wind Farm in Saudi Arabia (The 400 MW Dumat Al-Jandal Project)
Saudi Arabia has an ambitious plan to diversify its power generation resources. Part of this plan includes launching the King Salman Renewable Energy Initiative (KSREI). The goal of this work is to study the feasibility of the first utility-scale wind farm in Saudi Arabia, known as the 400 MW Dumat Al-Jandal project, and was conducted using the System Advisor Model (SAM) software. As the hub height of the wind turbine is usually different from the height at which the wind measurements are taken, the wind speeds were extrapolated to different heights using different methods. These methods are the power law using two different shear coefficients and the logarithmic law. The simulations were performed for 113 commercial wind turbines with different sizes and power curves to help enhance our understanding of the effects of these factors on wind farm performance. The technical analysis shows that the capacity factors of the most efficient wind machine types varied from 35.5%–26.8%, 32.9%–25.5%, and 29.7%–23.7% for the heights 140 m, 110 m, and 80 m, respectively. From an economic perspective, the levelized cost of energy (LCOE) of the most efficient wind machine types varied from 3.23–4.57 ¢/kWh, 3.55–4.84 ¢/kWh, and 4.02-5.82 ¢/kWh for the heights 140 m, 110 m, and 80 m, respectively. The lowest possible LCOE (3.23 ¢/kWh), according to this analysis, is in the same range of the submitted LCOE by the project’s winning bidder. Finally, the net present value (NPV) shows that the project is economically feasible.
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