2009年联盟选举亚军的保险

IF 1.5 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Revista De Ciencia Politica Pub Date : 2017-08-28 DOI:10.4067/S0718-090X2017000100003
P. Navia, Steffan Sternberg
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在智利,在两名制选举制度下,赢得两个地区席位的难度导致了寻求席位份额最大化的政党和希望获胜的个人候选人的相反动机。Carey和Siavelis(2003)认为Concertacion会奖励那些对其总投票份额有贡献的优秀失败者。我们将这种解释应用于2009年的选举,当时右翼联盟(Alianza)领先,因此,任何未来的奖励都最有可能分配给它的优秀失败者。我们的贡献澄清了人们对最有可能获胜的联合政府在地区一级获得强有力的立法票的原因的怀疑。在2009年的选举中,“联盟”获得的选票比以往任何一次都要多,这表明我们支持“失败者有良好保障”的论点。
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El seguro para los subcampeones electorales de la Alianza en 2009
In Chile, the difficulty of winning both district seats under the binominal electoral system has generated opposite motivations for office-seeking political parties, which want to maximize their seat share, and individual candidates who want to win. Carey and Siavelis (2003) argue that the Concertacion rewarded good losers who contributed to its overall vote share. We apply that explanation to the 2009 election, when the right-wing Alianza coalition was ahead and, therefore, any future rewards would be most likely to be distributed among its good losers. Our contribution clarifies doubts about the causes of strong legislative tickets at the district level in the coalition that would most likely win. In showing that the Alianza had stronger tickets in 2009 than in previous elections, we support the thesis of good losers’ insurance.
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来源期刊
Revista De Ciencia Politica
Revista De Ciencia Politica POLITICAL SCIENCE-
CiteScore
2.50
自引率
35.70%
发文量
15
期刊介绍: The Revista de Ciencia Política is an international and refereed journal published by the Instituto de Ciencia Política of the Pontificia Uniersidad Católica de Chile. It appears twice a year in July and December and publishes articles in all areas of Political Science. It was founded in 1979. The editorial policies of the Revista de Ciencia Política encompass all areas of specialization and methodological approaches within Political Science. The journal promotes the academic discussion of present and past political phenomena, as well as conceptual analyses, from the perspective of the various sub-disciplines of Political Science: Political Theory, Comparative Politics, Interrnationnal Relations, Formal Analysis, Regional Studies, etc.
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