基于agent的智能电表技术采用仿真

Zhang Tao, W. Nuttall
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引用次数: 41

摘要

基于经典的行为理论“计划行为理论”,作者开发了一个基于主体的模型来模拟智能计量技术在电力市场中的扩散。作者模拟了智能计量技术在不同管理策略和经济法规下的紧急采用。他们的研究结果表明,在促进智能电表在英国电力市场的起飞方面,在随机和地理分散的基础上选择初始用户和鼓励能源供应商之间的电表竞争可以是两个有效的策略。作者还观察到智能计量技术的“s曲线”扩散和模型中的“锁定”效应。研究结果为用户提供了关于在英国电力市场推出智能电表的有效政策和策略的见解。
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An Agent-Based Simulation of Smart Metering Technology Adoption
Based on the classic behavioural theory the "Theory of Planned Behaviour," the authors have developed an agent-based model to simulate the diffusion of smart metering technology in the electricity market. The authors simulate the emergent adoption of smart metering technology under different management strategies and economic regulations. Their research results show that in terms of boosting the take-off of smart meters in the UK electricity market, choosing the initial users on a random and geographically dispersed basis and encouraging meter competition between energy suppliers can be two effective strategies. The authors also observe an "S-curve" diffusion of smart metering technology and a "lock-in" effect in the model. The research results provide users with insights as to effective policies and strategies for the roll-out of smart meters in the UK electricity market.
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