外国直接投资流入动态:以中欧和东欧为例

Kunofiwa Tsaurai
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文采用固定效应、完全修正普通最小二乘(FMOLS)和随机效应等面板数据(1994-2020)分析方法,研究了外商直接投资(FDI)流入中东欧国家(CEECs)的动态变化。具体而言,该研究审查了哪些因素可以解释外国直接投资流入中东欧国家的混合模式。现有实证文献中关于FDI流入动态的混合结果引发了本研究的开展,并对这一主题的持续辩论做出了贡献。研究指出,在所有三种面板数据分析方法中,基础设施发展、经济增长和国内投资对外国直接投资都有显著的正影响。其他对FDI有显著正向影响的变量包括:(1)基础设施和金融发展之间的互补性(固定效应,随机效应),(2)贸易开放(固定效应)和(3)储蓄(随机效应,FMOLS)。在FMOLS下观察到汇率对外国直接投资的重大负面影响。因此,我们敦促中东欧国家实施加强基础设施建设、金融发展、贸易开放和储蓄的政策,以促进外国直接投资流入。未来的研究应探讨外商直接投资解释变量的最低阈值水平。
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Foreign Direct Investment Inflow Dynamics: The Case of Central and Eastern Europe
This study investigates the dynamics of foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows into Central and Eastern European countries (CEECs) using panel data (1994–2020) analysis methods such as fixed effects, fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS) and random effects. Specifically, the study examined what factors could account for the mixed pattern of FDI inflows into CEECs. The mixed results from the existing empirical literature on FDI inflow dynamics triggered the undertaking of this study to contribute to the ongoing debate on the subject. The study notes that infrastructural development, economic growth and domestic investment had a significant positive influence on FDI across all three panel data analysis methods. Other variables that were found to have had a significant positive effect on FDI include (1) complementarity between infrastructural and financial development (fixed effects, random effects), (2) trade openness (fixed effects) and (3) savings (random effects, FMOLS). A significant negative impact of the exchange rate on FDI was observed under the FMOLS. CEECs are therefore urged to implement policies to increase infrastructural development, financial development, trade openness and savings to enhance the inflow of FDI. Future studies should investigate the minimum threshold levels of the explanatory variables of FDI.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
26
审稿时长
16 weeks
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