全球气候要素与西爪哇地区降雨的典型相关分析

Arisya Maulina Bowo, I. Irianingsih, B. N. Ruchjana
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引用次数: 0

摘要

印尼气候多样,受厄尔尼诺-南方涛动(ENSO)、印度洋偶极子(IOD)和亚洲-澳大利亚季风等全球现象的影响。气候的持续变化间接造成了水文气象灾害。本研究的目的是分析全球气候要素(ENSO、IOD、亚澳季风)与西爪哇地区(茂物、万隆、素kabumi、Garut和Kuningan)降雨的同时关系。这五个地区的选择是基于巴丹国家Penanggulangan ben卡纳(BNPB)的自然灾害报告。研究方法是通过多变量分析技术之一的典型相关分析进行定量研究。研究结果表明,全球气候要素与西爪哇地区降水存在同步关系,差值为0.819。对西爪哇地区影响最大的全球气候要素和降水是亚澳季风和库宁安摄政降水。
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Canonical Correlation Analysis of Global Climate Elements and Rainfall in the West Java Regions
Indonesia has a diversity of climate influenced by several global phenomena such as El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO), Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), and Asian-Australian Monsoon. Continuously climate changing indirectly causes a hydrometeorological disaster. The purpose of this study was to analyze the relationship between global climate elements (ENSO, IOD, Asian-Australian Monsoon) with rainfall in the West Java regions (Bogor Regency, Bandung Regency, Sukabumi Regency, Garut Regency, and Kuningan Regency) simultaneously. The selection of the five regions was based on the natural disaster reports of Badan Nasional Penanggulangan Bencana (BNPB). The research method used was a quantitative research method through one of multivariate analysis technique called canonical correlation analysis. The results of this study indicate that there was a simultaneous relationship between global climate elements, with rainfall in the West Java regions by 0.819. The global climate element and rainfall in the West Java regions that most influenced the relationship were Asian-Austalian Monsoon and Kuningan Regency rainfall.
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