古气候的未来

IF 1.2 4区地球科学 Q4 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Climate Research Pub Date : 2021-03-11 DOI:10.3354/CR01636

J. Esper, U. Büntgen

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引用次数: 5

摘要

我们对自然气候变率的理解在普通时代(CE)迅速下降，因为仪器前的温度振幅在大规模重建中存在很大差异。强调这些差异并强调古气候发现对于将人为气候变化置于长期背景下是至关重要的。我们认为需要更多的代理记录来准确地重建第一个千年CE的温度变化，并价值区域研究产生这样的数据。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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The future of paleoclimate

Our understanding of natural climate variability rapidly declines over the Common Era (CE) as the pre-instrumental temperature amplitude differs substantially among large-scale reconstructions. Highlighting such differences and emphasizing paleoclimatic findings is crucial for placing anthropogenic climate change in a long-term context. We argue that more proxy records are needed to accurately reconstruct first millennium CE temperature variability and value regional studies producing such data.

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来源期刊

Climate Research 地学-环境科学

CiteScore

2.90

自引率

9.10%

发文量

审稿时长

3 months

期刊介绍： Basic and applied research devoted to all aspects of climate – past, present and future. Investigation of the reciprocal influences between climate and organisms (including climate effects on individuals, populations, ecological communities and entire ecosystems), as well as between climate and human societies. CR invites high-quality Research Articles, Reviews, Notes and Comments/Reply Comments (see Clim Res 20:187), CR SPECIALS and Opinion Pieces. For details see the Guidelines for Authors. Papers may be concerned with: -Interactions of climate with organisms, populations, ecosystems, and human societies -Short- and long-term changes in climatic elements, such as humidity and precipitation, temperature, wind velocity and storms, radiation, carbon dioxide, trace gases, ozone, UV radiation -Human reactions to climate change; health, morbidity and mortality; clothing and climate; indoor climate management -Climate effects on biotic diversity. Paleoecology, species abundance and extinction, natural resources and water levels -Historical case studies, including paleoecology and paleoclimatology -Analysis of extreme climatic events, their physicochemical properties and their time–space dynamics. Climatic hazards -Land-surface climatology. Soil degradation, deforestation, desertification -Assessment and implementation of adaptations and response options -Applications of climate models and modelled future climate scenarios. Methodology in model development and application