1901 - 2002年加拿大阿尔伯塔农业气候的时空变化

S. S. Shen, H. Yin, K. Cannon, A. Howard, S. Chetner, T. Karl
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引用次数: 43

摘要

摘要分析了加拿大阿尔伯塔省1901-2002年农业气候的长期变化趋势,探讨了阿尔伯塔省农业气候资源和潜在作物种植面积的空间变化特征。研究了9个农业气候参数:5 - 8月降水量(PCPN)、生长季开始(SGS)、生长季结束(EGS)、生长季长度(LGS)、最后一次春霜日期(LSF)、第一次秋霜日期(FFF)、无霜期长度(FFP)、生长日数(GDDs)和玉米热量单位(CHUs)。利用线性回归分析了各农业气候参数的时间变化趋势。趋势的显著性检验采用肯德尔的tau方法。研究结果支持以下结论。(1) 1901 - 2002年,阿尔伯塔省PCPN增长了14%,其中北部和西北部增幅最大,中部增幅减小(在两个小区域甚至变为负值)。
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Temporal and Spatial Changes of the Agroclimate in Alberta, Canada, from 1901 to 2002
Abstract This paper analyzes the long-term (1901–2002) temporal trends in the agroclimate of Alberta, Canada, and explores the spatial variations of the agroclimatic resources and the potential crop-growing area in Alberta. Nine agroclimatic parameters are investigated: May–August precipitation (PCPN), the start of growing season (SGS), the end of the growing season (EGS), the length of the growing season (LGS), the date of the last spring frost (LSF), the date of the first fall frost (FFF), the length of the frost-free period (FFP), growing degree-days (GDDs), and corn heat units (CHUs). The temporal trends in the agroclimatic parameters are analyzed by using linear regression. The significance tests of the trends are made by using Kendall’s tau method. The results support the following conclusions. 1) The Alberta PCPN has increased 14% from 1901 to 2002, and the increment is the largest in the north and the northwest of Alberta, then diminishes (or even becomes negative over two small areas) in central ...
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