AEC时代的印尼-东盟贸易一体化:以木制品为例

P. Tan
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摘要

研究采用格鲁贝尔-劳埃德指数来确定水平整合强度。此外,由于横向和纵向产业内贸易是可以区分的,因此重要的是要查明印尼-东盟木材产品的横向和纵向产业内贸易是否属于这些类别之一。赫夫鲍尔指数被用来衡量产品的差异化。因此,这可以作为制定政策促进该行业印尼-东盟IIT发展的基本信息。使用的数据包括2010年至2016年印度尼西亚和东盟之间木制品进出口的年度统计数据,这些数据分为8类,每类5位数。Grubel-Lloyd指数结果显示,只有ISIC 16102实现了强整合,其余仍处于轻度甚至弱整合。Hufbauer指数结果表明,所有值都接近于零,表明印尼-东盟木材产品贸易总体上存在水平分化。
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Trade Integration Indonesia-ASEAN4 in AEC Era: A Case of Wood-based Products
The research was conducted to find out the level integration intensity using Grubel-Lloyd index. Moreover, since Horizontal and Vertical Intra-Industry Trade (IIT) could be distinguished, it was important to find out whether Indonesia-ASEAN4 IIT of wood-based products was in one of these categories. The Hufbauer index had been used as the measurement of product differentiation. Therefore, it could be the basic information for taking policy to boost Indonesia-ASEAN IIT for this industry. The data used comprise annual statistics of wood-based product export and import between Indonesia and ASEAN4 from 2010 to 2016 which were divided into eight categories of five digits ISIC. The Grubel-Lloyd index result shows that only ISIC 16102 has achieved strong integration, the others are still in mild and even weak integration. The Hufbauer index results show that all the values approached to zero, indicated that overall wood-based products traded by Indonesia-ASEAN4 are horizontally differentiated.
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