利用社交媒体大数据了解美国公众对压裂问题的看法。

IF 2.7 Q1 GEOGRAPHY Annals of GIS Pub Date : 2023-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-09-10 DOI:10.1080/19475683.2022.2121856
Xi Gong, Yujian Lu, Daniel Beene, Ziqi Li, Tao Hu, Melinda Morgan, Yan Lin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

人们对水力压裂法(即 "压裂法")开采化石燃料的态度可能受社会人口、经济发展、社会公平和政治、环境影响以及压裂法相关信息获取等因素的影响。现有研究通常采用调查和访谈的方式,研究特定地理区域内一小部分人对压裂的公众态度,有限的样本可能会带来偏差。在此,我们汇编了 2018-2019 年期间来自推特(Twitter)的全美地理参照社交媒体大数据,以更全面地展现人们对压裂的态度。我们使用多尺度地理加权回归(MGWR)研究了上述因素与有关压裂的负面推文百分比之间的县级关系。结果清楚地描述了这些关联的空间异质性和不同规模。家庭收入中位数越高、非裔美国人人口越多和/或教育水平越低的县,反对压裂的可能性就越小,而且这些关联在美国所有毗连县都呈现出全球固定性。失业率较高的美国东部和中部县、大平原以东附近压裂场地较少的县以及医疗保险参保率较高的西部和墨西哥湾沿岸地区县更有可能反对压裂活动。这三个变量表明,在影响公众对压裂活动的看法方面,东西方存在明显的地域差异。在大平原南部各县,随着共和党选民比例的增加,在推特上表达对压裂活动的负面态度的频率较低。这些发现对预测公众观点和所需的政策调整都有影响。这种方法也可以方便地应用于调查公众对其他有争议话题的看法。
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Understanding Public Perspectives on Fracking in the United States using Social Media Big Data.

People's attitudes toward hydraulic fracturing (i.e., "fracking") to extract fossil fuels can be shaped by factors associated with socio-demographics, economic development, social equity and politics, environmental impacts, and fracking-related information obtainment. Existing research typically conducts surveys and interviews to study public attitudes toward fracking among a small group of individuals in a specific geographic area, where limited samples may introduce bias. Here, we compiled geo-referenced social media big data from Twitter during 2018-2019 for the entire United States to present a more holistic picture of people's attitudes toward fracking. We used a multiscale geographically weighted regression (MGWR) to investigate county-level relationships between the aforementioned factors and percentages of negative tweets concerning fracking. Results clearly depict spatial heterogeneity and varying scales of those associations. Counties with higher median household income, larger African American populations, and/or lower educational level are less likely to oppose fracking, and these associations show global stationarity in all contiguous U.S. counties. Eastern and Central U.S. counties with higher unemployment rate, counties east of the Great Plains with less fracking sites nearby, and Western and Gulf Coast region counties with higher health insurance enrollments are more likely to oppose fracking activities. These three variables show clear East-West geographical divides in influencing public perspective on fracking. In counties across the southern Great Plains, negative attitudes toward fracking are less often vocalized on Twitter as the share of Republican voters increases. These findings have implications for both predicting public perspectives and needed policy adjustments. The methodology can also be conveniently applied to investigate public perspectives on other controversial topics.

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来源期刊
Annals of GIS
Annals of GIS Multiple-
CiteScore
8.30
自引率
2.00%
发文量
31
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