高维谱密度矩阵的柔性非线性推理与变点测试

IF 1.4 3区 数学 Q2 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Journal of Multivariate Analysis Pub Date : 2023-10-21 DOI:10.1016/j.jmva.2023.105245
Ansgar Steland
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文研究了一种基于双线性形式的谱平均统计量计算的线性统计量和滞后窗(即带正则化)谱密度矩阵估计量的非线性变换来分析无约束维高维非线性时间序列的灵活方法。这类统计包括平滑周期图、非线性统计(如相干性)、长期运行方差估计和与因子效应相关的对比统计(作为特殊情况)。特别地,我们引入了谱密度矩阵的一类非线性谱平均。考虑到大数据环境,我们研究了一种包括稀疏采样方案的采样设计。针对这些频域统计量和非平稳下的滞后窗(交叉)谱估计量,导出了具有最优速率的非线性时间序列高斯逼近。对于变更测试(自我标准化),将检查CUSUM统计数据。进一步,提出了一种特定的野自举方法来估计临界值。本文的补充部分提供了对标准普尔500指数财务回报的模拟研究和应用。
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Flexible nonlinear inference and change-point testing of high-dimensional spectral density matrices

This paper studies a flexible approach to analyze high-dimensional nonlinear time series of unconstrained dimension based on linear statistics calculated from spectral average statistics of bilinear forms and nonlinear transformations of lag-window (i.e. band-regularized) spectral density matrix estimators. That class of statistics includes, among others, smoothed periodograms, nonlinear statistics such as coherency, long-run-variance estimators and contrast statistics related to factorial effects as special cases. Especially, we introduce the class of nonlinear spectral averages of the spectral density matrix. Having in mind big data settings, we study a sampling design which includes a sparse sampling scheme. Gaussian approximations with optimal rate are derived for nonlinear time series of growing dimension for these frequency domain statistics and the underlying lag-window (cross-) spectral estimator under non-stationarity. For change-testing (self-standardized) CUSUM statistics are examined. Further, a specific wild bootstrap procedure is proposed to estimate critical values. Simulation studies and an application to SP500 financial returns are provided in a supplement to this paper.

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来源期刊
Journal of Multivariate Analysis
Journal of Multivariate Analysis 数学-统计学与概率论
CiteScore
2.40
自引率
25.00%
发文量
108
审稿时长
74 days
期刊介绍: Founded in 1971, the Journal of Multivariate Analysis (JMVA) is the central venue for the publication of new, relevant methodology and particularly innovative applications pertaining to the analysis and interpretation of multidimensional data. The journal welcomes contributions to all aspects of multivariate data analysis and modeling, including cluster analysis, discriminant analysis, factor analysis, and multidimensional continuous or discrete distribution theory. Topics of current interest include, but are not limited to, inferential aspects of Copula modeling Functional data analysis Graphical modeling High-dimensional data analysis Image analysis Multivariate extreme-value theory Sparse modeling Spatial statistics.
期刊最新文献
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