市场弹性难题:它是经济增长的预测指标吗?

Richard Wamalwa Wanzala , Willy Muturi , Tobias Olweny
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引用次数: 8

摘要

弹性提供了关于边际价格影响随着股票市场交易量增加而增加的速度的基本见解,但很少有实证研究致力于对其进行研究。因此,本研究旨在确定市场弹性是否是经济增长的预测指标。其次,本研究还试图检验实际利率和风险溢价是否调节了肯尼亚股市弹性与经济增长之间的关系。为了解决市场弹性与经济弹性增长之间的关系难题,采用了明智的调节回归分析(MRA)。流动性和方差比率被用作弹性的度量,而实际利率和风险溢价被用作调节变量。使用CUSUM图来确定模型的稳定性。本研究结果表明,市场弹性是经济增长的一个预测指标,实际利率和风险溢价都调节了肯尼亚股市弹性与经济增长之间的关系。
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Market resiliency conundrum: is it a predicator of economic growth?

Resiliency provides fundamental insights on the speed at which the marginal price impact increases as transaction volume increases in the stock market yet very few empirical research has been dedicated to its study. Consequently, this study was directed towards determining whether market resiliency is a predicator of economic growth. Secondly, the study also sought to examine whether real interest rate and risk premium moderate the relationship between stock market resiliency and the economic growth in Kenya. To solve the conundrum on the relationship between market resiliency and economic resiliency growth, a sagacious moderating regression analysis (MRA) was used. The liquidity and variance ratios were used as measures of resiliency while real interest rate and risk premium were taken as moderating variables. The CUSUM plots were used to determine the stability of the model. The results of this study shows that market resiliency is a predicator of economic growth and both real interest rates and risk premium moderates the relationship between stock market resilience and the economic growth in Kenya.

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来源期刊
Journal of Finance and Data Science
Journal of Finance and Data Science Mathematics-Statistics and Probability
CiteScore
3.90
自引率
0.00%
发文量
15
审稿时长
30 days
期刊最新文献
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