返程延误和疏散令遵守情况:

Nicole Dash, Betty Hearn Morrow
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引用次数: 0

摘要

使用访谈数据,我们检查了乔治飓风后重新进入佛罗里达群岛的大量宣传延迟对未来疏散意图的影响。特别令人感兴趣的是,延误对经历过延误的人的未来撤离决定的影响要小于对从二手渠道得知延误的人的影响。害怕返回延误只是疏散决策中的一个因素,尽管这是一个尚未得到充分研究的因素。对于这个撤离人员的样本,感知风险是最显著的因素,而这种风险评估并没有被疏散相关的不便(如延误)充分降低。然而,对于没有撤离的人来说,延迟因素似乎只会增加他们下次撤离的不情愿,尽管他们感知到风险的水平。
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Return delays and evacuation order compliance:

Using interview data, we examine the effects of the heavily publicized delays in reentering the Florida Keys after Hurricane Georges on future evacuation intent. Of particular interest is the finding that the delays will have less influence on the future evacuation decisions of those who experienced them than on those who learned of them from secondary sources. Fear of return delays is only one factor in evacuation decision-making, albeit an understudied one. For this sample of evacuees, perceived risk is the most salient factor, and this risk assessment is not sufficiently diminished by the inconveniences, such as delays, associated with evacuation. For non-evacuees, however, the delay factor appeared to only increase their reluctance to evacuate the next time, despite their level of perceived risk.

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