平均奖励马尔可夫决策过程中的批量策略学习。

IF 4.3 3区 材料科学 Q1 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC ACS Applied Electronic Materials Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI:10.1214/22-aos2231
Peng Liao, Zhengling Qi, Runzhe Wan, Predrag Klasnja, Susan A Murphy
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引用次数: 55

摘要

研究了无限视界马尔可夫决策过程中的批量(离线)策略学习问题。在移动医疗应用程序的激励下,我们专注于学习一种使长期平均回报最大化的策略。我们提出了一种双鲁棒的平均奖励估计器,并证明它达到了半参数效率。在此基础上,提出了一种优化算法来计算参数化随机策略类的最优策略。估计策略的性能通过策略类中最优平均奖励与估计策略的平均奖励之间的差来衡量,并建立有限样本后悔保证。通过模拟研究和对促进身体活动的移动健康研究的分析说明了该方法的性能。
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BATCH POLICY LEARNING IN AVERAGE REWARD MARKOV DECISION PROCESSES.

We consider the batch (off-line) policy learning problem in the infinite horizon Markov Decision Process. Motivated by mobile health applications, we focus on learning a policy that maximizes the long-term average reward. We propose a doubly robust estimator for the average reward and show that it achieves semiparametric efficiency. Further we develop an optimization algorithm to compute the optimal policy in a parameterized stochastic policy class. The performance of the estimated policy is measured by the difference between the optimal average reward in the policy class and the average reward of the estimated policy and we establish a finite-sample regret guarantee. The performance of the method is illustrated by simulation studies and an analysis of a mobile health study promoting physical activity.

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CiteScore
7.20
自引率
4.30%
发文量
567
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