为了维持生计而冒险?埃塞俄比亚人向中东国际移民的决定因素和影响。

IF 4.3 2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY Comparative Migration Studies Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI:10.1186/s40878-023-00338-z
Beneberu A Wondimagegnhu, Lemlem Fantahun
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引用次数: 0

摘要

埃塞俄比亚是前往中东和非洲的国际移民的主要来源国之一,尽管移民面临着风险和虐待。这项研究的目的是分析埃塞俄比亚人向中东国际移徙的决定因素及其对留守家庭收入的影响,特别是在埃塞俄比亚阿姆哈拉地区的Dessie Zuria地区。随机抽取346户家庭的数据,采用描述性统计、logit回归和倾向得分匹配(PSM)模型进行分析。logit回归分析表明,较大的家庭规模、与移民/归国者的网络以及同伴/家庭压力的存在对国际移民的概率有正向影响。相反,作为男性户主,拥有较大的农田和牲畜以及参加更多的非农业活动对国际移徙有不利的影响。PSM模型的研究结果显示,与非移民派遣家庭相比,国际移民每年使移民派遣家庭的年收入增加了13,079.51 ETB。然而,留守家庭所享受的好处是以移民为代价的,他们的收入是来之不易的,他们往往要走冒险的路线才能到达目的地地区。调查结果呼吁采取综合政策方法来控制人口压力,这种压力耗尽了原籍家庭的主要财务和物质资产,从而迫使个人寻找其他谋生策略,如移民。需要采取因地制宜的政策干预措施,以创造非农业生计和替代生计,提高农业生产率,并获取信息,以减少有关目的地地区的夸大和误导性信息。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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Taking high-stakes venture to make ends meet? Determinants and impacts of international migration of Ethiopians to the Middle East.

Ethiopia is one of the major origins for international migrants to the Middle East in Africa regardless of the risks and the abuses that migrants face. The study aims to analyse the determinants of international migration of Ethiopians to the Middle East and its impact on the income of households staying behind particularly in the Dessie Zuria district of the Amhara region in Ethiopia. Data were randomly collected from 346 households and analysed using descriptive statistics, logit regression, and Propensity Score Matching (PSM) models. The logit regression analysis indicates that bigger family size, network with migrants/returnees, and the presence of peer/family pressure influence the probability of international migration positively. On the contrary, being a male household head, ownership of larger farmland and livestock, and participation in additional non-farm activities determine international migration negatively. The findings from the PSM model revealed that international migration increased the annual income of migrant-sending households by 13,079.51 ETB per year over non-migrant sending households. However, the benefits enjoyed by the families staying behind have been at the expense of migrants, whose income is hard-earned and they often take a risky route to reach the destination regions. The findings call for an integrated policy approach to control population pressure that depletes the key financial and physical assets of households in the origin and thus forces individuals to look for alternative livelihood strategies such as migration. Location-specific policy interventions are needed to create non-farm and alternative livelihoods, improve agricultural productivity, and access information to reduce exaggerated and misleading information about the destination areas.

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来源期刊
Comparative Migration Studies
Comparative Migration Studies Social Sciences-Law
CiteScore
6.60
自引率
8.60%
发文量
47
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