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De-bordering policies at the city scale: strategies for building resilience in Barcelona's migration governance 城市范围内的去边界化政策:巴塞罗那移民管理中的复原力建设战略
IF 3.5 2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-01-09 DOI: 10.1186/s40878-023-00361-0
R. Zapata‐Barrero
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引用次数: 0
Life experiences and cultural adaptation among migrant workers in Malaysia 马来西亚移民工人的生活经历和文化适应
IF 3.5 2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-01-05 DOI: 10.1186/s40878-023-00360-1
Azlizan Mat Enh, Andika Wahab, A. Azlan, Kartini Aboo Talib, Andi Muhammad Tri Sakti, Fazal Mohamed Mohamed Sultan
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引用次数: 0
Economic and labour market impacts of migration in Austria: an agent-based modelling approach. 奥地利移民对经济和劳动力市场的影响:基于代理的建模方法。
IF 3.5 2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-01-01 Epub Date: 2024-03-26 DOI: 10.1186/s40878-024-00374-3
Sebastian Poledna, Nikita Strelkovskii, Alessandra Conte, Anne Goujon, Joanne Linnerooth-Bayer, Michele Catalano, Elena Rovenskaya

This study examines the potential economic and labour market impacts of a hypothetical but plausible migration scenario of 250,000 new migrants inspired by Austria's experience in 2015. Using the agent-based macroeconomic model developed by Poledna et al. (Eur Econ Rev, 151:104306, 2023. 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2022.104306, the study explores the detailed labour market outcomes for different groups in Austria's population and the macroeconomic effects of the migration scenario. The analysis suggests that Austria's economy and labour market have the potential to be resilient to the simulated migration influx. The results indicate a positive impact on GDP due to increased aggregate consumption and investment. The labour market experiences an increase in the unemployment rates of natives and previous migrants. In some industries, the increase in the unemployment rates is more significant, potentially indicating competition among different groups of migrants. This research provides insights for policymakers and stakeholders in Austria and other countries that may face the challenge of managing large-scale migration in the near future.

Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s40878-024-00374-3.

本研究以奥地利 2015 年的经验为启发,探讨了 25 万新移民这一假设但可信的移民情景对经济和劳动力市场的潜在影响。使用 Poledna 等人开发的基于代理的宏观经济模型(Eur Econ Rev, 151:104306, 2023.10.1016/j.euroecorev.2022.104306)开发的基于代理的宏观经济模型,探讨了奥地利人口中不同群体的详细劳动力市场结果以及移民情景对宏观经济的影响。分析表明,奥地利的经济和劳动力市场具有抵御模拟移民潮的潜力。结果表明,消费和投资总量的增加对国内生产总值产生了积极影响。劳动力市场的本地人和先前移民的失业率有所上升。在某些行业,失业率的增长更为显著,这可能表明不同移民群体之间存在竞争。这项研究为奥地利和其他国家的政策制定者和利益相关者提供了见解,这些国家在不久的将来可能会面临管理大规模移民的挑战:在线版本包含补充材料,可查阅 10.1186/s40878-024-00374-3。
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引用次数: 0
Forecasting migration movements using prediction markets. 利用预测市场预测移民动向。
IF 4.3 2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2024-01-01 Epub Date: 2024-10-09 DOI: 10.1186/s40878-024-00404-0
Sandra Morgenstern, Oliver Strijbis

Migration forecasts are crucial for proactive immigration and integration management. While the demand for accurate migration forecasts continues to grow, the current state of migration forecasting is still unsatisfactory, because they tend to lack precision. We introduce an alternative method to forecast migration movements: prediction markets. While prediction markets are mainly unknown in migration studies, they are established in the political economy of forecasting election outcomes. For its application to a complex phenomenon in a more constrained information environment such as migration movements, we argue that prediction markets allow to balance complementarities of current qualitative and quantitative approaches if they provide solutions to avoid thin trading and integrate expert knowledge into the market. We apply the prediction market to forecast immigration in four West European countries in 2020 and find encouraging results. We discuss the strengths and limitations of prediction markets to migration forecasting, including ethical considerations, and guide its future application.

Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s40878-024-00404-0.

移民预测对于积极主动的移民和融入管理至关重要。虽然对准确移民预测的需求不断增长,但目前的移民预测仍不能令人满意,因为它们往往缺乏准确性。我们引入了另一种预测移民动向的方法:预测市场。虽然预测市场在移民研究中主要是未知的,但它在预测选举结果的政治经济学中已经得到了证实。我们认为,如果预测市场能提供避免稀缺交易的解决方案并将专家知识融入市场,那么它就能在当前定性和定量方法的互补性之间取得平衡。我们运用预测市场对四个西欧国家 2020 年的移民情况进行了预测,结果令人鼓舞。我们讨论了预测市场在移民预测方面的优势和局限性,包括伦理方面的考虑,并为其未来应用提供指导:在线版本包含补充材料,可查阅 10.1186/s40878-024-00404-0。
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引用次数: 0
Correction: Between settlement, double return and re-emigration: motivations for future mobility of Polish and Lithuanian return migrants 更正:在定居、双重回归和再移民之间:波兰和立陶宛回国移民未来流动的动机
IF 3.5 2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1186/s40878-023-00358-9
Olga Czeranowska, Violetta Parutis, A. Trąbka
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引用次数: 0
Political party offers of representation for minority voters: advertising in Chinese-language newspapers in New Zealand 政党为少数民族选民提供代表权:新西兰中文报纸上的广告
IF 3.5 2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1186/s40878-023-00357-w
Kate McMillan, Fiona Barker, Caleb Hoyle
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引用次数: 0
How organisations regulate Muslim body practices: a comparison of schools, hospitals, and swimming pools 组织如何规范穆斯林的身体习俗:学校、医院和游泳池的比较
2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI: 10.1186/s40878-023-00355-y
Maja Apelt, Annika Koch, Ines Michalowski, Kaspar Molzberger, Liane Schenk, Max Oliver Schmidt
Abstract In a comparison of three human service organisations in which the human body plays a key role, we examine how organisations regulate religious body practices. We concentrate on Muslim norms of dressing and undressing as a potential focal point of cultural and religious diversity. Inspired by Ray’s (2019) idea of racialized organizations, we assume that state-run organizations in Germany are characterized by a strong commitment to religious tolerance and non-discrimination but also marked by anti-Muslim sentiment prevalent among the German population. Our study looks for mechanism that explain how Human Service Organizations accommodate Muslim body practices. It draws on qualitative empirical data collected in state-run hospitals, schools and swimming pools in Germany. Our analyses show that the organizations draw on formal and informal rules at the organizational level to accommodate Islam. We identify five general organizational mechanisms that may hinder Muslim accommodation in human service organizations. In particular, we see a risk of decoupling between the expectation of religious tolerance and processes that lead to informal discrimination, driven mainly by the difficulty of controlling group dynamics among users.
在人体发挥关键作用的三个人类服务组织的比较中,我们研究了组织如何规范宗教团体的做法。我们专注于穆斯林的穿衣和脱衣规范,作为文化和宗教多样性的潜在焦点。受Ray(2019)关于种族化组织的想法的启发,我们假设德国的国有组织的特点是对宗教宽容和非歧视的强烈承诺,但也以德国人口中普遍存在的反穆斯林情绪为特征。我们的研究寻找解释人类服务组织如何适应穆斯林身体实践的机制。它借鉴了在德国国营医院、学校和游泳池收集的定性经验数据。我们的分析表明,组织在组织层面上利用正式和非正式的规则来适应伊斯兰教。我们确定了五种可能阻碍穆斯林在人类服务组织中住宿的一般组织机制。特别是,我们看到了对宗教宽容的期望与导致非正式歧视的过程之间脱钩的风险,这主要是由于难以控制用户之间的群体动态。
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引用次数: 0
Parenting by mothers in immigrant families from Poland, Russia and Turkey in Germany: Migration-related similarities or origin-related differences? 来自波兰、俄罗斯和土耳其的德国移民家庭的母亲养育子女:与移民相关的相似性还是与起源相关的差异?
2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-10-31 DOI: 10.1186/s40878-023-00356-x
Yasmin Öztürk, Eveline Reisenauer, Laura Castiglioni, Sabine Walper
Abstract Even if families in migration contexts have been the subject of an increasing amount of attention in migration research in the recent years, there is a noticeable knowledge deficit with regard to current parenting practices and socialization goals of immigrant families living in Germany. This is particularly striking since child-rearing is of central importance for children’s development and their educational pathways. This paper seeks to fill this gap, drawing on the survey “Growing up in Germany: Everyday Life” (AID:A) provided by the German Youth Institute (DJI). Similarities and differences in attitudes towards parenting among immigrant mothers compared to mothers without migration backgrounds were analyzed with regard to parenting practices (emotional warmth, punishment and child’s active participation) and socialization goals (performance/self-control and positive social behavior). In a sample of 5870 mothers reporting on a child under the age of nine, mothers in families where both they and the father had Turkey, Russia or Poland as their country of origin were included and compared to autochthonic families. The results revealed significant differences in parenting practices and socialization goals between mothers with and without migration backgrounds. Concerning parenting practices, Turkish and Russian mothers differed significantly from German mothers with regard to emotional warmth and punishment. In terms of socialization goals, all immigrant mothers placed more emphasis on both performance/self-control, as well as positive social behavior for their children than mothers without migration backgrounds in Germany.
尽管移民家庭近年来在移民研究中受到越来越多的关注,但在德国生活的移民家庭目前的育儿实践和社会化目标方面存在明显的知识缺陷。这一点尤其引人注目,因为养育子女对儿童的发展及其教育途径至关重要。本文试图填补这一空白,借鉴调查“成长在德国:日常生活”(AID:A)由德国青年研究所(DJI)提供。分析了移民母亲与非移民母亲在教养方式(情感温暖、惩罚和孩子的积极参与)和社会化目标(表现/自我控制和积极社会行为)方面的异同。在5870名报告9岁以下孩子的母亲的样本中,母亲和父亲的原籍国都是土耳其、俄罗斯或波兰的家庭被包括在内,并与本土家庭进行了比较。结果显示,有移民背景和没有移民背景的母亲在育儿实践和社会化目标方面存在显著差异。关于养育方式,土耳其和俄罗斯母亲在情感温暖和惩罚方面与德国母亲有显著差异。在社会化目标方面,所有移民母亲都比没有移民背景的德国母亲更强调表现/自我控制,以及孩子的积极社会行为。
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引用次数: 0
Socio-psychological integration from the perspective of receiving communities: a cross-country comparison between Sweden, Germany, Croatia and Jordan 接收社区视角下的社会心理融合:瑞典、德国、克罗地亚和约旦的跨国比较
2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-10-09 DOI: 10.1186/s40878-023-00353-0
Jana Kiralj Lacković, Dean Ajduković, Dana Abdel-Fatah, Laura Hertner, Walid Alkhatib
Abstract The socio-psychological dimension of integration is based on relations between the refugees and receiving community members revealed through intergroup thoughts, perceptions, emotions and behaviours. This study aimed to investigate and interpret the differences in the indicators of socio-psychological integration among the receiving communities of Sweden, Germany, Croatia and Jordan—countries with diverse socio-economic, socio-political and cultural contexts, histories of inward migration, as well as differently preferred destinations in the migration of refugees from Syria in the 2010s. The contextual differences are reflected in the attitudes of the members of receiving communities towards refugees from Syria, perceptions of realistic and symbolic threats posed by refugees, frequency and valence of intergroup contact, support for the rights of refugees and readiness to assist them, social proximity, perception of refugees’ exposure to discrimination, and the assessment of how much the refugees are a part of the respective local communities.
融合的社会心理维度是基于难民和接收社区成员之间的关系,通过群体间的思想、感知、情感和行为揭示出来。本研究旨在调查和解释瑞典、德国、克罗地亚和约旦这些国家的社会经济、社会政治和文化背景、向内移民历史以及2010年代叙利亚难民移民的不同首选目的地之间社会心理融合指标的差异。背景差异反映在接收社区成员对叙利亚难民的态度,对难民构成的现实和象征性威胁的看法,群体间接触的频率和价值,对难民权利的支持和帮助他们的准备,社会接近度,对难民遭受歧视的看法,以及对难民在多大程度上是各自当地社区的一部分的评估。
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引用次数: 0
Correction: Integration policies and migrants' labour market outcomes: a local perspective based on different regional configurations in the EU 修正:一体化政策和移民劳动力市场结果:基于欧盟不同区域配置的地方视角
2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-10-03 DOI: 10.1186/s40878-023-00354-z
David De Coninck, Giacomo Solano
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Comparative Migration Studies
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