混合-混合多项逻辑模型用于识别乘客安全带使用的因素。

IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI:10.1080/17457300.2022.2164308
Mahdi Rezapour, Khaled Ksaibati
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引用次数: 0

摘要

更好地了解选择使用安全带的潜在因素可能有助于制定政策解决方案,从而提高安全带的使用率。为了实现这一目标,重要的是通过采用有效的统计技术获得无偏和可靠的结果。本文对潜在类别(LC)模型进行了扩展,以解释同一类别内各参数之间未观察到的异质性。随机参数潜在类或混合混合(MM)模型是混合模型和LC模型的扩展,在LC模型上添加了另一层,目的是考虑同一类内的异质性。结果表明,尽管LC模型优于混合模型,但标准LC模型并没有考虑到数据集中的全部异质性,并且增加了一个额外的层来改变整个观测值的参数,从而改善了模型拟合。结果表明,驾驶员系安全带状态、车辆类型、星期几和驾驶员性别是影响乘客是否系安全带的一些因素。还观察到,与LC技术相比,在MM模型的第二层中考虑了一周中的哪一天、驾驶员的性别和车辆类型的异质性,结果更好地拟合。本研究的结果扩大了我们对安全带使用选择的因素的理解,同时捕获了前座乘客选择安全带使用的额外异质性。这是最早在交通安全背景下实施该技术的研究之一,具有个人特定的观察。
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The mixed-mixed multinomial logit model for identification of factors to the passengers' seatbelt use.

A better understanding of the underlying factors to the choice of seatbelt use could contribute to the policy solutions, which consequently enhance the rate of seatbelt usage. To achieve that goal, it is important to obtain unbiased and reliable results by employing a valid statistical technique. In this paper, the latent class (LC) model was extended to account for unobserved heterogeneity across parameters within the same class. The random parameter latent class, or mixed-mixed (MM) model, is an extension of the mixed and LC models by adding another layer to the LC model, with an objective of accounting for heterogeneity within a same class. The results indicated that although the LC model outperformed the mixed model, the standard LC model did not account for the whole heterogeneity in the dataset and adding an extra layer for changing the parameter across the observations result in an improvement in a model fit. The results indicated that seatbelt status of the driver, vehicle type, day of a week, and driver gender are some of factors impacting whether or not passengers would wear their seatbelts. It was also observed that accounting for day of a week, drivers' gender, and type of vehicle heterogeneities in the second layer of the MM model result in a better fit, compared with the LC technique. The results of this study expand our understanding about factors to the choice of seatbelt use while capturing extra heterogeneity of the front-seat passengers' choice of seatbelt use. This is one of the earliest studies implemented the technique in the context of the traffic safety, with individual-specific observations.

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来源期刊
International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion
International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH-
CiteScore
4.40
自引率
13.00%
发文量
48
期刊介绍: International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion (formerly Injury Control and Safety Promotion) publishes articles concerning all phases of injury control, including prevention, acute care and rehabilitation. Specifically, this journal will publish articles that for each type of injury: •describe the problem •analyse the causes and risk factors •discuss the design and evaluation of solutions •describe the implementation of effective programs and policies The journal encompasses all causes of fatal and non-fatal injury, including injuries related to: •transport •school and work •home and leisure activities •sport •violence and assault
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