Blood Eosinophil Count as a Predictive Biomarker of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Exacerbation in a Real-World Setting.

Introduction: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is the third leading cause of death, and COPD exacerbation worsens the prognosis. Eosinophilic airway inflammation is a COPD phenotype that causes COPD exacerbation and is correlated with peripheral blood eosinophil count. We analyzed real-world data of COPD patients to assess the risk factors of COPD exacerbation focusing on blood eosinophils.

Materials and methods: Patients with COPD who visited our hospital between January 1, 2018, and December 31, 2018, were recruited, and their background information, spirometry data, laboratory test results, and moderate-to-severe exacerbation events during the one-year follow-up period were collected from the electronic medical records and analyzed. The COPD exacerbation risk factors were assessed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses.

Results: Twenty-two of 271 (8.1%) patients experienced moderate-to-severe exacerbation. Patients with exacerbation showed worse pulmonary function, and we found that a high blood eosinophil count (≥350 cells/μL; p=0.014), low % FEV1 (<50%; p=0.002), increase in white blood cell (≥9000 cells/μL; p=0.039), and use of home oxygen therapy (p=0.005) were risk factors for future exacerbations. We also found a strong correlation between eosinophil count cut-offs and exacerbation risk (r = 0.89, p < 0.001). On the other hand, there was no relation between exacerbation risk and inhalation therapy for COPD.

Conclusion: In a real-world setting, peripheral blood eosinophil count could be a predictor of future COPD exacerbation.