{"title":"结合埃及MERRA-2和现场空气质量数据的空气污染时空模式和趋势(2013-2021)。","authors":"Alaa A. Masoud","doi":"10.1007/s11869-023-01357-6","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>For best-informed decision-making to improve climate change adaptation and reduce present and future air pollution health hazards, it is essential to identify major trends in spatiotemporal air quality patterns of common air contaminants. This study examined the patterns and trends of SO<sub>2</sub>, NO<sub>2</sub>, CO, O<sub>3</sub>, and particulate matter (PM) air pollutants over 91 monitoring stations in Egypt during 93 months in the August (2013)–April (2021) period. In situ data with their monthly, seasonal, and yearly spatial trends are defined and used to validate the counterpart satellite reanalysis MERRA-2 data. The Mann–Kendall test characterized the seasonal monotonic trends and their Sen’s slope, and annual change rate for both data series. Regression analysis of MERRA-2 against in situ concentrations of SO<sub>2</sub> and PM<sub>10</sub> revealed underestimation with RMSE values of 13.38 g m<sup>−3</sup> and 69.46 g m<sup>−3</sup>, respectively. Local plumes with variable magnitudes characterized distinct industrial places clarified by patterns of in situ pollutants. As a result of the COVID-19 lockdown, the in situ air pollutants showed a considerable regional decline in the yearly average in 2020 compared to the years before. The in situ air pollutants showed annual trends far more significant than those seen in the MERRA-2 data. The shortcomings of the few and spatiotemporal discontinuities of the in situ contaminants are addressed by MERRA-2 air quality products. The in situ data made trends and magnitudes clear that were hidden in their MERRA-2 counterparts. 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引用次数: 1
摘要
为了做出最明智的决策,以改善气候变化适应能力,减少当前和未来的空气污染健康危害,必须确定常见空气污染物时空空气质量模式的主要趋势。本研究调查了埃及91个监测站在2013年8月至2021年4月期间93个月内SO2、NO2、CO、O3和颗粒物(PM)空气污染物的模式和趋势。现场数据及其月度、季节性和年度空间趋势被定义并用于验证对应卫星再分析MERRA-2数据。Mann-Kendall检验表征了两个数据系列的季节单调趋势及其森斜率和年变化率。MERRA-2对SO2和PM10现场浓度的回归分析显示低估,RMSE值分别为13.38 g m-3和69.46 g m-3。具有不同大小的局部羽状物特征的不同工业场所通过现场污染物的模式得到了澄清。由于新冠肺炎封锁,与前几年相比,2020年现场空气污染物的年平均值出现了显著的区域下降。现场空气污染物的年度趋势远比MERRA-2数据中的趋势更为显著。MERRA-2空气质量产品解决了现场污染物数量少、时空不连续的缺点。现场数据清楚地表明了MERRA-2对应物中隐藏的趋势和幅度。研究结果阐明了埃及的空气污染模式、趋势和空间变异性,这些对气候风险管理和减少环境/健康问题至关重要。补充信息:在线版本包含补充材料,请访问10.1007/s11869-023-01357-6。
Spatio-temporal patterns and trends of the air pollution integrating MERRA-2 and in situ air quality data over Egypt (2013–2021)
For best-informed decision-making to improve climate change adaptation and reduce present and future air pollution health hazards, it is essential to identify major trends in spatiotemporal air quality patterns of common air contaminants. This study examined the patterns and trends of SO2, NO2, CO, O3, and particulate matter (PM) air pollutants over 91 monitoring stations in Egypt during 93 months in the August (2013)–April (2021) period. In situ data with their monthly, seasonal, and yearly spatial trends are defined and used to validate the counterpart satellite reanalysis MERRA-2 data. The Mann–Kendall test characterized the seasonal monotonic trends and their Sen’s slope, and annual change rate for both data series. Regression analysis of MERRA-2 against in situ concentrations of SO2 and PM10 revealed underestimation with RMSE values of 13.38 g m−3 and 69.46 g m−3, respectively. Local plumes with variable magnitudes characterized distinct industrial places clarified by patterns of in situ pollutants. As a result of the COVID-19 lockdown, the in situ air pollutants showed a considerable regional decline in the yearly average in 2020 compared to the years before. The in situ air pollutants showed annual trends far more significant than those seen in the MERRA-2 data. The shortcomings of the few and spatiotemporal discontinuities of the in situ contaminants are addressed by MERRA-2 air quality products. The in situ data made trends and magnitudes clear that were hidden in their MERRA-2 counterparts. The results clarified air pollution patterns, trends, and spatial variability over Egypt that are essential for climate risk management and for reducing environmental/health concerns.
期刊介绍:
Air Quality, Atmosphere, and Health is a multidisciplinary journal which, by its very name, illustrates the broad range of work it publishes and which focuses on atmospheric consequences of human activities and their implications for human and ecological health.
It offers research papers, critical literature reviews and commentaries, as well as special issues devoted to topical subjects or themes.
International in scope, the journal presents papers that inform and stimulate a global readership, as the topic addressed are global in their import. Consequently, we do not encourage submission of papers involving local data that relate to local problems. Unless they demonstrate wide applicability, these are better submitted to national or regional journals.
Air Quality, Atmosphere & Health addresses such topics as acid precipitation; airborne particulate matter; air quality monitoring and management; exposure assessment; risk assessment; indoor air quality; atmospheric chemistry; atmospheric modeling and prediction; air pollution climatology; climate change and air quality; air pollution measurement; atmospheric impact assessment; forest-fire emissions; atmospheric science; greenhouse gases; health and ecological effects; clean air technology; regional and global change and satellite measurements.
This journal benefits a diverse audience of researchers, public health officials and policy makers addressing problems that call for solutions based in evidence from atmospheric and exposure assessment scientists, epidemiologists, and risk assessors. Publication in the journal affords the opportunity to reach beyond defined disciplinary niches to this broader readership.