单辆大型卡车碰撞的伤害严重程度:考虑异质性。

IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-07-27 DOI:10.1080/17457300.2023.2239212
Md Al Adib Sarker, Alireza Rahimi, Ghazaleh Azimi, Xia Jin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究在探讨异质性的作用的同时,考察了佛罗里达州单车辆大型卡车碰撞的伤害严重程度。采用随机参数有序logit (RPOL)模型分析了2007年至2016年美国佛罗里达州27505起单车大型卡车碰撞事故,并确定了影响因素。在模型中引入随机参数和相互作用效应来确定异质性及其潜在来源。结果表明,76-120 mph的行驶速度和轮胎缺陷是影响碰撞损伤严重程度的最重要因素,增加了严重碰撞的概率。就卡车司机的属性而言,睡眠或疲劳状态以及酒后驾驶与严重撞车的可能性较高相关。有趣的是,结果显示,与佛罗里达州的卡车司机相比,来自佛罗里达州以外的卡车司机不太可能造成严重的单车大型卡车撞车事故。y型十字路口也被发现是单人大型卡车撞车的高风险地点,导致更严重的后果。在异质性方面,研究结果表明,驾驶速度(26-50英里/小时)和光照条件(黑暗-无光照)的影响在不同的观察结果中存在显著差异,这些差异可归因于驾驶员行为、视觉障碍、驾驶员分心、道路类型和道路线形。
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Injury severity of single-vehicle large-truck crashes: accounting for heterogeneity.

This research examines the injury severity of single-vehicle large-truck crashes in Florida while exploring the role of heterogeneity. A random parameter ordered logit (RPOL) model was applied to 27,505 single-vehicle large-truck crashes from 2007 to 2016 in Florida, and the contributing factors were identified. Random parameters and interaction effects were introduced to the model to determine the heterogeneity and its potential sources. The results suggested that driving speed of 76-120 mph and defective tires were the most influential factors in crash injury severity, increasing the probability of severe crashes. Regarding truckers' attributes, asleep or fatigued conditions and driving under the influence were correlated with a higher possibility of severe crashes. Interestingly, the results showed that truckers from outside the state of Florida were less likely to cause severe single-vehicle large-truck crashes compared to their Floridian counterparts. Y-intersections were also found as a high-risk location for single-vehicle large-truck crashes, leading to more severe outcomes. Regarding heterogeneity, the results indicated that the impacts of driving speed (26-50 mph) and light condition (dark - not lighted) significantly varied among the observations, and these variations could be attributed to driver action, vision obstruction, driver distraction, roadway type and roadway alignment.

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来源期刊
International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion
International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH-
CiteScore
4.40
自引率
13.00%
发文量
48
期刊介绍: International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion (formerly Injury Control and Safety Promotion) publishes articles concerning all phases of injury control, including prevention, acute care and rehabilitation. Specifically, this journal will publish articles that for each type of injury: •describe the problem •analyse the causes and risk factors •discuss the design and evaluation of solutions •describe the implementation of effective programs and policies The journal encompasses all causes of fatal and non-fatal injury, including injuries related to: •transport •school and work •home and leisure activities •sport •violence and assault
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