Empirical Study on FDI, International Trade and Economic Growth in Chongqing Based on VAR

Jie Ji, Y. Long
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

Based on the Chongqing economic data from 1987 to 2008, this paper performs an empirical research according to VAR modle and the results of vector error correction model (VECM), it draws a conclusion that there is a long-term equilibrium between the three variables, FDI and export have great impress on economics. The results also reveal that Chongqing is an export-led growth district and export is a causality to import there is a bi-directional causality between FDI and export.
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基于VAR的重庆市FDI、国际贸易与经济增长实证研究
本文以1987 - 2008年重庆市经济数据为基础,根据VAR模型和向量误差修正模型(VECM)的结果进行实证研究,得出三个变量之间存在长期均衡的结论,FDI和出口在经济学上具有重要意义。结果还表明,重庆是出口导向型增长区域,出口与进口之间存在因果关系,FDI与出口之间存在双向因果关系。
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