Bifurcation of an epidemic model with sub-optimal immunity and saturated recovery rate

Chang Phang, Yong Hong Wu
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Abstract

In this paper, we study the bifurcation of an epidemic model with sub-optimal immunity and saturated treatment/recovery rate. Different from classical models, sub-optimal models are more realistic to explain the microparasite infections disease such as Pertussis and Influenza A. By carrying out the bifurcation analysis of the model, we show that for certain values of the model parameters, Hopf bifurcation, Bogdonov-Takens bifurcation and its associated homoclinic bifurcation occur. By studying the bifurcation curves, we can predict the persistence or extinction of diseases.
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具有次优免疫和饱和恢复率的流行病模型的分岔
本文研究了一类具有次优免疫和饱和治疗/恢复率的流行病模型的分支问题。与经典模型不同,次优模型对百日咳和甲型流感等微寄生虫感染疾病的解释更为现实。通过对模型的分岔分析,我们发现在模型参数的一定值下,会出现Hopf分岔、Bogdonov-Takens分岔及其相关的同宿分岔。通过研究分岔曲线,我们可以预测疾病的持续或灭绝。
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